Publication:
Factors that Contribute to (or Detract from) Successful Outcomes in African Regional Agreements

Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Files in English
English PDF (183.69 KB)
344 downloads
Published
2009
ISSN
Date
2012-06-26
Editor(s)
Abstract
Regional Integration Agreements (RIAs) have proliferated in Africa and the complexity of issues surrounding their formation has increased. This paper describes the different Regional Integration Agreements in Africa, their history, members and reported rationale. It classifies them along three dimensions: 1) according to the different levels of regional integration they have attained; 2) according to three broad triggering motivations for their formation; and 3) according to whether or not they are active. RIAs developed explicitly or exclusively for trade have rarely achieved a high degree of integration. Rather, historical and political features appear to be important in forging bonds between countries. This preliminary investigation finds no conclusive evidence of increased trade, nor of diversion in trade patterns.
Link to Data Set
Citation
Alva, M.; Behar, A.. 2009. Factors that Contribute to (or Detract from) Successful Outcomes in African Regional Agreements. © World Bank. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/9101 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.
Digital Object Identifier
Associated content
Report Series
Other publications in this report series
Journal
Journal Volume
Journal Issue

Related items

Showing items related by metadata.

  • Publication
    Trade in Sub-Saharan Africa and Opportunities for Low Income Countries
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2009) Manners, P.; Behar, A.
    Sub-Saharan African countries are further from economic markets than most other regions in the world. This largely reflects the small size of economic markets within the Sub-Saharan region. Despite its distance to the major economic markets, more than 80 per cent of Sub-Saharan trade is outside of its own region. Using a gravity model, such a trade pattern would be expected. In fact, Sub-Saharan African countries typically under-export to countries outside their own region, while they export about as much to countries within their region as would be expected, given their economic size. There is a pattern of increasing regionalization of trade over the past 25 years. The pattern of Sub-Saharan trade is not easily explained by colonial relationships, language barriers, internal geography or logistics, despite all these variables being highly significant in explaining bilateral trading relationships. It may instead reflect tariff and non-tariff barriers, although this conclusion is not tested within this paper.
  • Publication
    Neighborhood Growth Effects : An Annual Panel Data Approach
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2009) Behar, Alberto
    Research suggests that there are neighborhood effects in the form of correlations between countries' growth and that of their neighbors. The data in this study suggests that closer countries - those with which country shares a border or those within a smaller radius - are more correlated than the broader region or the rest of the world. We also discovered evidence of large asymmetries, with the correlation the decline in neighborhood per capita GDP far exceeding that for increases in neighborhood per capita GDP.
  • Publication
    Natural Resources, Growth and Spatially-Based Development : A View of the Literature
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2009) Nelson, B.; Behar, A.
    This paper reviews natural resource "curse", economic growth and related spatial issues literature. Empirical work has established the presence of a negative relationship between growth and natural resource richness. Economic theory suggests a range of explanations: 1) resource booms may induce exchange rate appreciation which squeezes growth enhancing sectors; 2) resource rich economies may be subject to price volatility and trade shocks, both ofr which are destabilizing; 3) natural capital appears to crowd out human capital and may foster inequality; 4) natural resource sectors can feature a weak configuration of linkages, limiting the extent of positive feedback to the rest of the economy; and 5) poor policymaking contributes to their under-performance. Policy prescriptions are relatively clear with respect to the short run macroeconomic handling of resource rents. With regard to institutional dimensions, checks and balances on government activity appear to have high returns in resource rich countries. Spatially based and cluster initiatives may help foster productive linkages, technological upgrading, quality certification and market access.
  • Publication
    Moving to Opportunity : Successful Integration or Bright Lights?
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2009) Timmins, Christopher; Lall, Somik V.; Yuer, Shouyue
    Economists have long argued that migration decisions are motivated by the possibility of earning higher wages. But since many migrants don't find jobs after moving, is this attraction irrational? This paper, using census data from Brazil, examines the causes and consequences of internal migration. It finds that many poor/ uneducated people are pushed to migrate as they do not get access to basic services such as health care and clean water in their hometowns, and these migrants have lower chances of assimilating into destination labor markets. Policies that improve human capital and social services in lagging regions are likely to be useful for individual migrants.
  • Publication
    EU-ACP Economic Partnership Agreements : Empirical Evidence for Sub-Saharan Africa
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2009) Vollmer, Sebastian; Martínez-Zarzosoy, Inmaculada; Nowak-Lehmann D., Felicitas; Klan, Nils-Hendrik
    Since early 2008 there have been interim trade agreements between the EU and six regions of ACP countries in force which could be stepping stones towards full Economic Partnership Agreements between the EU and all ACP countries. This paper estimates the welfare effects of the interim agreements for nine African countries: Botswana, Cameroon, Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana, Kenya, Mozambique, Namibia, Tanzania, and Uganda. Results indicate that Botswana, Cameroon, Mozambique, and Namibia will significantly profit from the interim agreements, while the trade effects for Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana, Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda are close to zero. Predicted results of the liberalization based on the interim agreement's reduction rates fall short of the potential of a full liberalization.

Users also downloaded

Showing related downloaded files

  • Publication
    Wealth Sharing for Conflict Prevention and Economic Growth : Botswana Case Study of Natural Resource Utilization for Peace and Development
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2011-12) Sebudubudu, David
    There are countries in Asia, Europe, the Middle East and even a few such countries in Africa that are using non-renewable resources to drive development and have not experienced conflict. South Africa, Namibia, Botswana, and Zambia are such typical cases in Africa. Instead, the presence of significant minerals in Botswana is associated with economic development and democracy as well as peace. This paper applies the "resource curse", thesis to the case of Botswana, a country that is rich in minerals, yet it has realized positive development thus avoiding conflict and 'the resource curse'. The focus of this study is to examine the experience of Botswana in using natural resources to promote equitable development and thereby avoid conflict which often results from selfish private or ethnic group interests that elsewhere have used natural resources to the exclusion of other groups in society. This study specifically looks at the conditions and factors that facilitated the absence of internal conflict in the extraction of natural resources in Botswana. The key questions answered are: what contextual conditions and factors facilitated the peaceful extraction of natural resources in Botswana?; and were these factors unique to Botswana or can they be replicated elsewhere?. The first chapter gives introduction. The second chapter deals with the socio-political setting of the chiefs' rule during the pre-colonial and colonial periods. The third chapter discusses Botswana's democracy and how it has evolved not only to democratize society but also to become a management culture of good governance for defining how the natural resources will be utilized for the country's development. Chapter four outlines the mineral resource base of Botswana and the policies and strategies used by government in ensuring that such resources were used for public good rather than the self-interest of either the leaders or mining houses. Chapter five focuses attention on cases of local conflicts relating to mineral and other natural resources around different parts of the country. Chapter six brings the issues together to explain Botswana's democratic and mineral dividends in attaining a high development success rate. Chapter seven presents conclusion.
  • Publication
    Tanzania Jobs Diagnostic
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2018) Petracco, Carly; Sanchez-Reaza, Javier
    Tanzania has just entered a phase of growing dependency rates that will put pressure on job creation so that the larger number of dependents do not fall into poverty. However, the new millions of jobs that will be needed in the next decade is only part of the challenge. It is important to create better jobs. An economy that produces plenty of good jobs is the most direct way to continue the trajectory toward lower poverty rates. Challenges to creating more and better jobs for the poor and vulnerable groups stem from both labor demand and supply issues. On the demand side, large firms in a few sectors dominate. Possibly because of that dominance, micro and small firms find it difficult to grow and provide new jobs. Firms’ relatively restricted market access may also be a crucial factor in explaining comparative low productivity and employment. Trade expansion and a well-connected economy would address issues of comparative low-productivity and employment. On the supply side, urban areas have high unemployment. In rural areas, underemployment is on the rise. The fall in unemployment rates may be largely explained by discouraged workers withdrawing from the labor force. Where there is willingness to work—like with women and young workers—disparities in the access to quality employment is an obstacle. Finally, the rise in educational attainment was insufficient to address labor market challenges likely due to the fall in the quality of education. The objective of the Jobs Diagnostic (JD) is to identify the main challenges to job creation and to improve the quality and inclusiveness of employment. The JD is a data-driven exercise that looks at macroeconomic and demographic factors, as well as labor supply and demand to pinpoint the main constraints for a jobs-rich growth path. The fact that JDs are data-driven allows for international comparisons based on standardized datasets.The JD covers three main areas: macro and demographic trends, labor supply, and labor demand. The first section looks at the relationships between employment growth, labor productivity, and economic growth to set the macro context to later examine labor supply and demand. The second section cover labor supply. It aims to identify trends in labor supply to understand the population’s needs for employment, the unemployment challenges, underemployment, and waged and informal employment. These trends include working-age population (WAP), labor force, and inactivity. Once identified, international comparisons are based on a global harmonized household database (International Income Distribution Dataset— ‘I2D2’). The labor supply section in JDs employs a set of harmonized variables that are comparable across countries and time. The third section covers labor demand. It aims to identify the links between sectoral productivity, size, age, and other characteristics to assess the constraints for employment growth, productivity, and wages. Firm-level datasets such as Enterprise Surveys, (which allow for some international benchmarking), or censuses of enterprises are used to do this. The demand for labor is derived from the production of goods and services by entrepreneurs to meet the demand for products in an economy. The analysis also highlights who gets the jobs created in the economy and what variables determine earnings and employment. A JD analyzes a country’s economic transformations in relation to other experiences. There are three important aspects of such transformation: Structural transformation (the movement of labor across sectors); Spatial transformation (or “urbanization”; the movement of labor across places); and Organizational transformation (or “formalization”; the movement from informality to formal work, and from self to waged employment). A JD also identifies the characteristics of individuals that can access jobs in the economy, and those who are left behind.
  • Publication
    Ten Steps to a Results-Based Monitoring and Evaluation System : A Handbook for Development Practitioners
    (Washington, DC: World Bank, 2004) Zall Kusek, Jody; Rist, Ray C.
    An effective state is essential to achieving socio-economic and sustainable development. With the advent of globalization, there are growing pressures on governments and organizations around the world to be more responsive to the demands of internal and external stakeholders for good governance, accountability and transparency, greater development effectiveness, and delivery of tangible results. Governments, parliaments, citizens, the private sector, Non-governmental Organizations (NGOs), civil society, international organizations, and donors are among the stakeholders interested in better performance. As demands for greater accountability and real results have increased, there is an attendant need for enhanced results-based monitoring and evaluation of policies, programs, and projects. This handbook provides a comprehensive ten-step model that will help guide development practitioners through the process of designing and building a results-based monitoring and evaluation system. These steps begin with a 'readiness assessment' and take the practitioner through the design, management, and importantly, the sustainability of such systems. The handbook describes each step in detail, the tasks needed to complete each one, and the tools available to help along the way.
  • Publication
    Rural-Urban Migration in Developing Countries
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2021-05) Shilpi, Forhad; Selod, Harris
    This paper reviews the recent literature on rural-urban migration in developing countries, focusing on three key questions: What motivates or forces people to migrate? What costs do migrants face? What are the impacts of migration on migrants and the economy? The literature paints a complex picture whereby rural-urban migration is driven by many factors and the returns to migration as well as the costs are very high. The evidence supports the notion that migration barriers hinder labor market adjustment and are likely to be welfare reducing. The review concludes by identifying gaps in current research and data needs.
  • Publication
    World Development Report 1984
    (New York: Oxford University Press, 1984) World Bank
    Long-term needs and sustained effort are underlying themes in this year's report. As with most of its predecessors, it is divided into two parts. The first looks at economic performance, past and prospective. The second part is this year devoted to population - the causes and consequences of rapid population growth, its link to development, why it has slowed down in some developing countries. The two parts mirror each other: economic policy and performance in the next decade will matter for population growth in the developing countries for several decades beyond. Population policy and change in the rest of this century will set the terms for the whole of development strategy in the next. In both cases, policy changes will not yield immediate benefits, but delay will reduce the room for maneuver that policy makers will have in years to come.