Person:
Freije-Rodriguez, Samuel
Author Name Variants
Fields of Specialization
Labor economics,
Development economics
Degrees
External Links
Departments
Poverty and Equity Global Practice of the World Bank
Externally Hosted Work
Contact Information
Last updated
January 31, 2023
Biography
Lead economist in the Poverty and Equity Global Practice at the World Bank. He joined the Bank in 2008, and his main areas of work include labor economics and the welfare impacts of public policy. He has participated in Bank studies on labor markets, poverty, equality of opportunities, and the distributive impact of tax policy for several Latin American countries, China, Mongolia, and the Russian Federation. He is a member of the team that produced World Development Report 2013: Jobs. Before joining the Bank, Samuel was an associate professor at Universidad de las Americas in Puebla and at Instituto de Estudios Superiores de Administración in Caracas. Samuel was associate editor of Economía, Journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association. He holds a PhD in Labor Economics from Cornell University.
Publication Search Results
1 - 10 of 10
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Publication
Labor Markets and the Crisis in Latin America and the Caribbean (A Preliminary Review for Selected Countries)
(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2009-06)Countries in Latin America and the Caribbean are experiencing the impact of the international financial crisis on labor markets across different dimensions, such as employment, wages and the quality of labor market arrangements. This note reviews a selected group of countries to assess the speed and severity of labor market impacts. It identifies patterns in the changing labor market conditions, such as specific sectors or types of workers being affected. It also describes countries' preparedness and capacity to respond to the crisis and the specific policy responses being implemented. The review finds a large variation in impacts and responses in the context of increases in unemployment rates that range from 0.4 to 2.1 percentage points. The impacts of the crisis are evolving rapidly but seem to have a more noticeable negative effect among salaried workers in Brazil and Chile whereas in Colombia non-salaried workers have been affected the most. Mexico shows both types of workers as being seriously hit by the recession. -
Publication
Understanding the Poverty Impact of the Global Financial Crisis in Latin America and the Caribbean
(Washington, DC: World Bank, 2014-06-18)Any time there is an economic crisis; there is the very real potential that its consequences for human welfare will be severe. Thus when the developed world plunged into such a crisis in 2008 and growth rates in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) began to plummet, fears rose that the region will suffer rising unemployment, poverty, malnutrition, and infant mortality, among other things. This study confirms and quantifies many of the sobering links between crisis and poverty, but it also shows how powerful good policy in stable times is in attenuating those links. It thus underscores the need for sound growth policies, good macro prudential care, fiscal balance, low debt, reasonably flexible exchange rates, and the like to help prevent and manage crises. It equally shows how effective social protection responses built on adequate existing programs can be. This study documents the effects of the 2008-09 global financial crisis on poverty in 12 countries in the LAC region, and it comes away with six big picture messages, each with much nuance and many caveats that are explained briefly in this overview. -
Publication
China Economic Update, June 2015
(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2015-07-03)Chinas economic growth continues to moderate, in 2014 gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 7.4 percent, within the governments indicative growth target of about 7.5 percent for the year, but sharply slower than the 10 percent annual growth rate china averaged for three consecutive decades. An orderly correction in real estate - reflecting policy efforts to reduce supply mismatches and tighten nonbank credit - continues to weigh on economic activity. Ongoing adjustments in real estate, a buildup of excess capacity, and decelerating export growth are affecting industrial activity. In contrast growth in services remained robust as composition of growth continues to improve. -
Publication
Stemming Russia’s Informality: Unearthing Causes and Developing Solutions
(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2019-05)Growing informal employment in Russia raises concerns about fiscal sustainability, productivity, and social protection. Cutting through various data and definitions, this report finds one consistent outcome: informal employment is on the rise. As of 2016, Russia’s informal employment was estimated to range between 15.1 and 21.2 percent. The fiscal loss of underpayment by informal workers is estimated at between 1 to 2.3 percent of GDP. However, Russia’s share of informal employment is not that high when compared to other middle-income countries. In fact, countries such as Kazakhstan and Turkey, who have a similar GDP per capita as Russia, exhibit higher informal employment rates – 30 and 33 percent, respectively. Informal employment is a pervasive phenomenon in Russian labor markets, and its growth cannot be solely attributed to changes in the sectoral or demographic composition of the labor force. Rather, informality appears to have been growing across all sectors and particularly among workers without at least some tertiary education. Migrants tend to be more informal: the 2016 share of informal migrant workers (only partially captured in the surveys) was 26.2 percent, versus 15.7 percent of Russian workers. The increase in informality is attributed mainly to the lack of formal job creation, which in recent years, was close to zero. The report focuses on three aspects that affect informality: labor market regulations; taxes and benefits; and labor mobility. -
Publication
What Do We Know about Poverty in India in 2017/18?
(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2022-02)This paper nowcasts poverty in India, one of the countries with the largest population below the international poverty line of $1.90 per person per day. Because the latest official household survey dates back to 2011/12, there is considerable uncertainty about recent poverty trends in the country. Applying a pass-through and survey-to-survey methodology, extreme poverty (at the $1.90 poverty line) for India in 2017 is estimated at 10.4 percent with a confidence interval of [8.1, 11.3]. The urban and rural poverty rates are estimated at 7.2 and 12.0 percent, respectively. Across a wide range of publicly available data sources, the paper finds no evidence of an increase in poverty between 2011/12 and 2017/18. -
Publication
Mongolia: Distributional Impact of Taxes and Transfers
(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2018-11)This paper uses Mongolia's Household Socio Economic Survey for 2016 to estimate the distributive impact of taxes and transfers. The findings show that the system is progressive and contributes to reductions in poverty and inequality. The Gini coefficient of the pre-tax-and-transfer income is 0.4183 and decreases to 0.3507 after-tax-and-transfer. This is a reduction of 6.76 Gini points (around 16 percent). Something similar happens with the poverty rate, which decreases from 47.31 to 31.96 percent. Despite the progressiveness of the whole system, there are some caveats and policy warnings. First, pensions are the most redistributive instrument in the system, but their actuarial and fiscal sustainability is weak. Second, two programs (the child money program and the mortgage subsidy) do little redistribution -- the latter is actually regressive -- but represent a large share of the budget (around 2.5 percent of gross domestic product). These two factors, and the fact that up to a 35 percent of total expenditures in monetary and in-kind transfers is funded by corporate taxes and royalties -- which are highly dependent on volatile commodity prices—make the redistributive impact of the tax-and-transfer system susceptible to fiscal unsustainability. -
Publication
Changes in Female Employment in Mexico: Demographics, Economics, and Policies
(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2020-06)The unemployment and labor force participation gender gaps narrowed in Mexico after the 2008 global economic crisis, when female labor force participation increased. This paper aims to understand female labor force participation growth and identify its main determinants. For that purpose, the paper estimates a probit model with data from the National Employment Survey of 2007 and 2017, when the unemployment rate returned to the pre-crisis level. Broadly, the results show that increasing labor force participation of women ages 36 to 65 sustained the growth of overall female labor force participation, women's educational attainment can offset any individual or household obstacle to women's employability, and childcare availability significantly supports mothers' employability. -
Publication
Informal Employment and Worker's Well-Being in the Russian Federation
(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2019-08)This paper finds that informal workers are more likely to have inferior work conditions, but do not necessarily report worse subjective well-being. Starting with lower wages, but also with less regularity of hours and paid vacation, informal workers have higher incidence of envelope payments than formal workers but not of hazardous or unstable jobs. After controlling for work conditions, informal workers do not have statistically significantly lower job satisfaction and under no specification are informal workers more likely to self-assess worse health than formal workers. Finally, there is some association between informal employment and household poverty and life satisfaction, but it is not robust to changes in econometric specification or sample composition. The authors conclude that the evidence indicates that informal employment in the Russian Federation is mostly a problem of labor productivity and the design of the social protection system, but worsening wages and some association between informality and household poverty indicate that informality may also be a social equity problem. -
Publication
RUSMOD: A Tool for Distributional Analysis in the Russian Federation
(World Bank, Washington, DC, 2019-09)The purpose of this paper is to introduce applications of RUSMOD -- a microsimulation model for fiscal incidence analysis in the Russian Federation. RUSMOD combines household survey micro-data and fiscal policy rules to simulate the Russian tax-benefit system: the size and distribution of taxes collected and benefits paid, and the impact of the system on different population groups. Microsimulation models, such as RUSMOD, are habitually used in developed countries, and can be versatile budgetary policy tools. Using this model, the current tax-benefit system in Russia is examined. The impact of the system is measured across the income distribution, age groups, family types, localities, as well as across time. One of the applications of RUSMOD this paper aims to assess is the role of the tax-benefit system in explaining the incidence of informal employment in Russia. The paper investigates whether the existing system creates disincentives for formalization in terms of reducing disposable incomes and increasing poverty and inequality, and whether a hypothetical tax reform would be able to reduce the opportunity costs of formalization for informal workers, improve distributional outcomes, and increase fiscal revenues. -
Publication
Effects of the 2008–09 Economic Crisis on Labor Markets in Mexico
( 2011-10-01)The 2008-09 economic crisis has had a long-lasting negative impact on the Mexican economy. This paper examines labor market dynamics in Mexico in light of the crisis. The labor market has been characterized in recent years by low relative unemployment, but high levels of informal jobs, low-growth, and almost stagnant real wages. In this context, the crisis destroyed a wide number of formal jobs, and even informal, increasing the unemployment rates to pre-crisis levels. Manufacturing was the sector that endured the largest job losses during the crisis and wages decreased for all sectors. The government of Mexico implemented a variety of programs to cope with the crises. However, these measures were too limited to counteract the large negative impact of the crisis on labor markets.