Winkler, Hernán

Poverty and Equity Global Practice of the World Bank
Profile Picture
Author Name Variants
Fields of Specialization
Labor economics, Poverty, Inequality, Migration
External Links
Poverty and Equity Global Practice of the World Bank
Externally Hosted Work
Contact Information
Last updated January 31, 2023
Hernan Winkler is a Senior Economist in the Poverty and Equity Global Practice. He specializes in labor economics, migration, and the sources and consequences of inequality and poverty. His research has been published in peer-reviewed journals including the Review of Economics and Statistics, the Journal of Development Economics and the Journal of Human Resources. He has led several World Bank reports including Reaping Digital Dividends: Leveraging the Internet for Development in Europe and Central Asia. Before joining the World Bank, he was a Researcher at CEDLAS. He holds a PhD in economics from the University of California at Los Angeles (UCLA).
Citations 116 Scopus

Publication Search Results

Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
  • Thumbnail Image
    Explaining the Evolution of Job Tenure in Europe, 1995–2020
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2022-10) Bussolo, Maurizio ; Capelle, Damien ; Lokshin, Michael M. ; Torre, Iván ; Winkler, Hernan
    During the last quarter century, job tenure in Europe has shortened. Using data from Eurostat Labor Force Surveys of 29 countries from 1995 to 2020 and applying an age-period-cohort decomposition to analyze changes in tenure for specific birth cohorts, this paper shows that tenure has shrunk for cohorts born in more recent years. To account for compositional changes within cohorts, the analysis estimates the probability of holding jobs of different durations, conditional on individual and employment-related characteristics. The estimations demonstrate that, over time, the likelihood of having a medium- or long-term job decreased and holding a short-term job increased. The paper also finds that stricter job protection legislation appears to decrease the probability of holding a short-term job, and higher trade openness and ICT-related technological change are correlated with an increase of that probability.
  • Thumbnail Image
    Neither by Land nor by Sea: The Rise of Electronic Remittances during COVID-19
    (World Bank, Washington, DC, 2022-05) Dinarte-Diaz, Lelys ; Jaume, David ; Medina-Cortina, Eduardo ; Winkler, Hernan
    Despite concerns that the COVID-19 economic collapse would torpedo international remittances, formal remittances to several developing countries ballooned early in the pandemic. This increase might, however, have reflected a shift from informal channels to formal ones rather than a change in actual flows. This paper employs Mexican data to explore this and finds that remittance channels did change. The rise in formal inflows was larger among municipalities that were previously more reliant on informal channels (for example, near a border crossing). Households there also experienced a disproportionate increase in bank accounts opened after lockdown measures. The paper also rules out hypotheses related to the US Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and. Economic Security Act and altruism.