03. Journals
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These are journal articles published in World Bank journals as well as externally by World Bank authors.
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Publication
The value of lost output and cost of illness of noncommunicable diseases in the Pacific
(Elsevier, 2022-12-01) Hou, Xiaohui ; Anderson, Ian ; Burton-Mckenzie, Ethan-JohnThe Pacific Island Countries face some of the highest rates of Noncommunicable Diseases (NCDs). This study estimates the economic costs of NCDs for each year from 2015 to 2040, focusing on eleven Pacific Island nations. Data and Methods: two methods were used to estimate the mortality and morbidity costs using a ‘value of lost output’ and ‘cost of illness’ approach respectively. Results: Five results stand out in terms of projected economic costs of NCD mortality and morbidity analyses in the Pacific: (i) the economic burden of NCDs in the Pacific is greater than expected for middle‐income countries; (ii) although cardiovascular disease is the biggest contributor to the mortality burden in the region, diabetes plays a far greater role in the Pacific countries compared to the global average; (iii) the economic burden of NCDs is increasing with time, especially as incomes rise; (iv) the biggest driver of lost output is the potential loss of labor due to early death from NCDs; and (v) the cost of illness due to diabetes is high across the Pacific countries, with highest among the Polynesian countries. NCDs alone can put enormous threat to the small Pacific economies. Targeted interventions to reduce disease prevalence, as outlined in the Pacific NCDs Roadmap, are vital to reduce the long-term costs associated with NCD mortality and morbidity. -
Publication
Improving Services for Chronic Non-communicable Diseases in Samoa: An Implementation Research Study Using the Care Cascade Framework
(John Wiley and Sons, Inc., 2021-07-26) Fraser-Hurt, Nicole ; Naseri, Leausa Take ; Thomsen, Robert ; Matalavea, Athena ; Ieremia-Faasili, Victoria ; Reupena, Muagatutia Sefuiva ; Hawley, Nicola L. ; Pomer, Alysa ; Rivara, Anna C. ; Obure, Dayo Carol ; Zhang, ZhangSamoa needs to intensify the response to the growing non-communicable disease burden. This study aimed to assess bottlenecks in the care continuum and identify possible solutions. The mixed-methods study used the cascade framework as an analysis tool and hypertension as a tracer condition for chronic non-communicable diseases. Household survey data were integrated with medical record data of hypertension patients and results from focus group discussions with patients and healthcare providers. Hypertension prevalence was 38.1% but only 4.7% of hypertensive individuals had controlled blood pressure. There were large gaps in the care continuum especially at screening and referral due to multiple socio-cultural, economic and service delivery constraints. In Samoa, care for chronic non-communicable diseases is not effectively addressing patient needs. This calls for better health communication, demand creation, treatment support, nutritional interventions and health service redesign, with a focus on primary healthcare and effective patient and community engagement. -
Publication
Gender Biases in Resettlement Processes in Vietnam: Examining Women's Participation and Implications for Impact Assessment
(Taylor and Francis, 2021-07-18) Nghia, Nguyen Quy ; Phuong, Nguyen Thi Minh ; Hang, Do Thi LeThe impacts of development-induced resettlement disproportionately affect women, as they frequently face more difficulties than men to cope with disruption and changes. Women’s situation might further deteriorate if there is no mechanism for affected households to enjoy meaningful participation and consultation in the resettlement process. This paper is the result of policy analysis, project implementation experience, and findings of a cross-sectional survey of 876 affected households in Vietnam. We examine women's participation in resettlement processes in large infrastructure projects in Vietnam. The survey findings revealed the limited participation of women in the resettlement processes from all perspectives (meeting attendance, resettlement implementation, and making decisions) at community and household levels. Gender-stereotyped prejudice from community members and the gender-ascribed household division of labor were key factors inhibiting women’s meaningful participation. The paper also discusses the implications of the findings for impact assessment practice. We call for a shift in how resettlement is prepared and implemented towards a more comprehensive and gender-informed approach, with a view to making affected people genuine beneficiaries of resettlement programs. -
Publication
Can We Rely on VIIRS Nightlights to Estimate the Short-Term Impacts of Natural Hazards? Evidence from Five South East Asian Countries
(Taylor and Francis, 2021-02-03) Skoufia, Emmanuel ; Strobl, Eric ; Tveit, ThomasThis paper utilizes Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) nightlights to model damage caused by earthquakes, floods and typhoons in five South East Asian countries (Indonesia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Thailand and Vietnam). For each type of hazard we examine the extent to which there is a difference in nightlight intensity between affected and non-affected cells based on (i) case studies of specific hazards; and (ii) fixed effect regression models akin to the double difference method to determine any effect that the different natural hazards might have had on the nightlight value. The VIIRS data has some shortcomings with regards to noise, seasonality and volatility that we try to correct for with new statistical methods. The results show little to no significance regardless of the methodology used. Possible explanations for the lack of significance could be underlying noise in the nightlight data and measurements or lack of measurements due to cloud cover. Overall, given the lack of consistency in the results, even though efforts were made to decrease volatility and remove noise, we conclude that researchers should be careful when analyzing natural hazard impacts with the help of VIIRS nightlights. -
Publication
Contrasting Experiences: Understanding the Longer-Term Impact of Improving Access to Pre-Primary Education in Rural Indonesia
(Taylor and Francis, 2021-02-02) Hasan, Amer ; Jung, Haeil ; Kinnell, Angela ; Maika, Amelia ; Nakajima, Nozomi ; Pradhan, MennoThis paper examines the child development outcomes of two cohorts of children who were exposed to the same intervention at different points in time. One cohort was eligible to access playgroups during the first year of a five-year project cycle, beginning at age four. The other cohort became eligible to access these services during the third year of a five-year project cycle, beginning at age three. The younger cohort was more likely to be exposed to playgroups for longer and at more age-appropriate times relative to the older cohort. The paper finds that enrollment rates and enrollment duration in preprimary education increased for both cohorts, but the enrollment effects were larger for the younger cohort. In terms of child development outcomes, there were short-term effects at age five that did not last until age eight, for both cohorts. Moreover, the younger cohort had substantially higher test scores during the early grades of primary school, relative to the older cohort. We document the extent to which program impacts can vary as a result of differences in project implementation. -
Publication
What Drives Utilization of Primary Care Facilities? Evidence from a National Facility Survey
(Taylor and Francis, 2021) Vu, Lan T.H. ; Bales, Sarah ; Bredenkamp, CarynThis analysis aims to assess the association between commune health station (CHS) service availability/readiness and health service utilization. Data from the 2015 Vietnam District and Commune Health Facility Survey was used to build a series of multivariate negative binomial regressions to measure the association between domains of service availability/readiness and CHS's average number of visits per capita. Three domains of service availability/readiness are significantly associated with higher utilization rates: health infrastructure, basic equipment availability, and capacity to deliver services for non-communicable diseases. If all three modifiable CHS characteristics were to be improved from their current level, the predicted utilization rate of the CHS would be 3.3–3.7 times as high as current levels. Investments in improving facility infrastructure, making available essential equipment items, and enabling the CHS to provide hypertension and diabetes services would all likely increase health service utilization at CHS level. -
Publication
Land Asset Securitization: An Innovative Approach to Distinguish between Benefit-sharing and Compensation in Hydropower Development
(Taylor and Francis, 2020-08-08) Shi, Guoqing ; Shang, KaiDevelopment Project (DP) is creating the benefits for all and taking benefit-sharing (BS) as a goal. BS involves paying something above the fair market compensation or replacement value of the assets lost in the displacement and resettlement. BS becomes more important and complicated when the lost assets are not transacted as commodities in a market. BS is a key to resolve the challenges on impoverishment caused development induced displacement and resettlement globally. An innovated BS approach and methodology for land asset securitization (LAS) is proposed. It takes occupied lands as capital investment in the DP rather than for displaced assets’ compensation only based on natural resources transfer theory. LAS takes the approach in lands resourcing, land resources capitalization and land assets securitization. It establishes the mechanism to arrange additional benefits for resettlers. It enables rural resettlers to receive appropriate compensation to sustain basic livelihoods at the DP construction and early commercial operation stage as well as share profits equally during full operation. LAS will prevent either the hydropower developer or the government from having interests in securitized assets. LAS is a sustainable approach to promote win-win among resettlers, developers, governments, and civil society. -
Publication
The Impact of Positive Agricultural Income Shocks on Rural Chinese Households
(Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank, 2020-02) Leight, JessicaIn the post-collectivization period, rural Chinese households were required to sell part of their grain output to the state at a below-market price; however, increases in this quota price beginning in 1993 generated substantial positive income shocks. These income shocks also varied cross-sectionally in accordance with crop composition given that quotas were systematically larger for rice-producing households, generating a quasi-random source of variation in the size of the shock driven by climatic variation in suitability for rice cultivation. Households induced to experience relatively larger income shocks show evidence of decreased agricultural investment, increased investment in non-agricultural businesses, and increased migration as households gain increased income, consistent with the hypothesis that credit constraints may have constrained some households from entering non-agricultural production ex ante. In addition, there is evidence that these households were concentrated among households who had not previously diversified out of agriculture. -
Publication
Finding the Poor vs. Measuring Their Poverty: Exploring the Drivers of Targeting Effectiveness in Indonesia
(Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank, 2019-10) Bah, Adama ; Bazzi, Samuel ; Sumarto, Sudarno ; Tobias, JuliaCentralized targeting registries are increasingly used to allocate social assistance benefits in developing countries. There are two key design issues that matter for targeting accuracy: (i) which households to survey for inclusion in the registry; and (ii) how to rank surveyed households. We attempt to identify their relative importance by evaluating Indonesia's Unified Database for Social Protection Programs (UDB), among the largest targeting registries in the world, used to provide social assistance to over 25 million households. Linking administrative data with an independent household survey, we find that the UDB system is more progressive than previous, program-specific targeting approaches. However, simulating an alternative targeting system based on enumerating all households, we find a one-third reduction in undercoverage of the poor compared to focusing on households registered in the UDB. Overall, there are large gains in targeting performance from improving the initial registration stage relative to the ranking stage. -
Publication
Impact of Free Trade Agreement Use on Import Prices
(Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the World Bank, 2019-10) Hayakawa, Kazunobu ; Laksanapanyakul, Nuttawut ; Mukunoki, Hiroshi ; Urata, ShujiroWe examine the impact of free trade agreement (FTA) use on import prices. For this analysis, we employ establishment-level import data with information on tariff schemes, that is, the FTA and most-favored-nation schemes used for importing. Unlike previous studies, we estimate the effects of FTA use on prices by controlling for differences in importing-firm characteristics. There are three main findings. First, the effect of FTA use is overestimated when not controlling for importing firm-related fixed effects. Second, on average, firms’ FTA use reduces tariffs by 12 percentage points and raises import prices by 3.6–6.7 percent. Third, in general, we do not find a price rise resulting from the costs of complying with rules of origin.