Country Economic Memorandum

239 items available

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Azerbaijan - Country Economic Memorandum : A New Silk Road - Export-led Diversification

(World Bank, 2009-12-23) World Bank

Azerbaijan's oil and gas boom presents a rare opportunity to accelerate improvements in the quality of life of all its citizens. Its per capita income is $5,100 in 2008, up nearly 400 percent from 2004 in current USD terms; it could potentially exceed $6,500 by 2013 and higher beyond that. Consequently, poverty is likely to continue to fall, especially in the rural areas, and the entire population of nearly nine million can expect to benefit significantly from expanded access to better quality education and health services as well as more targeted social assistance. Most of this income growth is expected to come from non-oil output and exports, especially agriculture and light manufacturing, though high levels of oil revenues and public spending will continue to stimulate significant growth of construction and various services sectors. Fiscal revenues from oil and gas are expected to be $198 billion in net present value terms through 2024 (based on the oil production profile of June 2008). This report outlines changes in policies and institutions that will be needed to realize this vision.
Georgia : Agricultural and Rural Enterprise Development

(Washington, DC, 2009-12) World Bank

The report is structured as follows. Section one examines the contribution of the rural economy to the national economy, the structure of the farm and non-farm sectors and their relative importance. Section two describes policies and constraints affecting the wider rural economy including, reforms in macro-economic management, recent external influences and financial services before discussing those which relate specifically to agriculture including, agricultural trade policy, land reform, agricultural machinery services , irrigation and drainage, seeds, sanitary and phytosanitary control and veterinary services, marketing and advisory services. Section three assesses the outcomes of these policies on the structure and performance of the rural economy. Section four describes the extent to which policy makers should prioritize the farm and non-farm sectors in rural areas and then presents recommendations for reform. While it is recognized that rural infrastructure (roads, potable water, and energy) and rural social services have a major impact on the rural economy, the report does not attempt to address these issues in detail. Rural Infrastructure issues are examined in 'rural infrastructure in Georgia, improving service delivery' (World Bank, 2006) and key findings of this report are summarized at the end of section two.
Sudan - The Road Toward Sustainable and Broad-Based Growth

(World Bank, 2009-12-01) World Bank

This report proposes a growth strategy for Sudan that reduces its dependence on oil, while building an economic foundation for a diversified, inclusive and sustainable growth path. Specifically, Sudan's near term strategy should focus on: a) developing and maintaining the necessary enabling environment for growth, specifically macroeconomic stability and effective fiscal management (chapter one); b) implementing policies aimed at improving the investment climate and broadening private sector- led growth (chapters two and five); c) increasing returns to the agriculture sector as the highest potential engine of growth and poverty reduction over the medium-term (chapter four); d) developing a comprehensive reconstruction plan for the South (chapter six); and e) complementing technocratic reforms with good governance.
Sudan - Toward Sustainable and Broad-Based Growth

(World Bank, 2009-12-01) World Bank

Sudan is in the 10th year of its longest and strongest growth episode since independence, benefiting from the advent of oil in 1999. This report proposes a growth strategy for Sudan that reduces its dependence on oil, while building an economic foundation for a diversified, inclusive and sustainable growth path. Specifically, Sudan's near term strategy should focus on: a) developing and maintaining the necessary enabling environment for growth, specifically macroeconomic stability and effective fiscal management (chapter one); b) implementing policies aimed at improving the investment climate and broadening private sector-led growth (chapters two and five); c) increasing returns to the agriculture sector as the highest potential engine of growth and poverty reduction over the medium-term (chapter four); d) developing a comprehensive reconstruction plan for the South (chapter six); and e) complementing technocratic reforms with good governance. Sudan needs a new, more balanced growth vision that is less reliant on oil, while using the oil wealth to create an economic foundation for a diversified, inclusive, and sustainable growth path.
Benin - Constraints to Growth and Potential for Diversification and Innovation : Country Economic Memorandum

(World Bank, 2009-06-18) World Bank

With favorable geographical location, macroeconomic stability, debt reduction, progress on structural reforms, and political stability, Benin will seem to have the foundations for a dynamic, diversified economy. Yet the country's economic structure has not evolved, remaining highly dependent on cotton and transit trade, and per-capita growth has slowed down in recent years. The government has requested the World Bank's assistance in understanding the constraints to growth and evaluating the country's potential for diversification and innovation as it seeks to lead the country to emerging market status by 2020. The government is well aware that the vulnerabilities associated with the country's dependence on cotton and transit trade impede the attainment of this goal. Response to the government's request, the objective of the Benin Country Economic Memorandum (CEM) is therefore to identify and analyze the key economic and institutional constraints to growth, including through diversification and innovation. The CEM contains four main chapters, each providing theoretical or empirical analyses of Benin's economic situation and prospects: a) cross-sectoral binding constraints to growth; b) analysis of specific constraints in the cotton and transit trade sectors; c) diversification and innovation potential; and d) political economy of growth.
Macedonia - Moving to Faster and More Inclusive Growth A Country Economic Memorandum : Main Report and Annex

(World Bank, 2009-06-09) World Bank

This report deals with medium and long-term growth issues rather than the challenges posed by the world financial crisis, the structural policy options presented in the report become even more important in that context, and can help to partially mitigate the impact of the crisis on Macedonia. Section B looks at poverty and inequality issues. Section C examines Macedonia's past growth in terms of total factor productivity analysis, drawing the connection with labor and capital, and within these broad factors, human capital and infrastructure. It also compares Macedonia's growth to a successful regional comparator, Slovakia. Section D benchmarks Macedonia's performance in important policy areas that could affect growth relative to comparator countries. It also estimates how much improved performance in these areas could raise potential growth. Section E looks at efficiency in public expenditure and public investment important issues in raising growth. Section F summarizes these analyses and makes some initial recommendations.
Macedonia - Moving to Faster and More Inclusive Growth : A Country Economic Memorandum - Overview

(World Bank, 2009-06-06) World Bank

This report deals with medium and long-term growth issues rather than the challenges posed by the world financial crisis, the structural policy options presented in the report become even more important in that context, and can help to partially mitigate the impact of the crisis on Macedonia. Section B looks at poverty and inequality issues. Section C examines Macedonia's past growth in terms of total factor productivity analysis, drawing the connection with labor and capital, and within these broad factors, human capital and infrastructure. It also compares Macedonia's growth to a successful regional comparator, Slovakia. Section D benchmarks Macedonia's performance in important policy areas that could affect growth relative to comparator countries. It also estimates how much improved performance in these areas could raise potential growth. Section E looks at efficiency in public expenditure and public investment important issues in raising growth. Section F summarizes these analyses and makes some initial recommendations.
Cambodia - Sustaining Rapid Growth in a Challenging Environment : Country Economic Memorandum

(World Bank, 2009-01-01) World Bank

Many countries succeed in generating high economic growth at some point in their history. But only a very few manage to sustain rapid growth for an extended period. Only such a prolonged period of rapid growth can have a significant impact on income per capita, and such an impact often brings with it many other important changes to people's lives. Cambodia has more than doubled its income per capita over the past decade, from US$285 in 1997 to US$593 in 2007. This doubling has been accompanied by the trappings of a profound structural transformation: integration into the global economy; a shift of jobs from agriculture to manufacturing; a demographic transition; and migration from rural to urban areas. Translating into jobs and better services, these outcomes have led to a significant reduction in poverty, as well as improvements in health and education. This report aims to contribute to policymakers' and citizens' thinking about growth in Cambodia in three ways: (i) it reviews the experience of the past decade and draws the Cambodia-specific lessons of this period; (ii) it sketches the major potential sources of growth with the aim of assessing the barriers to growth; and (iii) it outlines policy options for addressing these barriers.
Madagascar : Back to the Future on the Road to Sustained and Balanced Growth, Country Economic Memorandum, Volume 2, Annexes

(Washington, DC, 2008-12) World Bank

The objective of this study is to accompany Malagasy authorities in their transition towards economic emergence. If the contribution of foreign capital and the abundance of natural resources should help the Malagasy economy escape from the poverty trap by increasing its domestic savings and investment capacities, as well as its technological capacities. International experience reminds us that this transition is far from being automatic. Indeed, there are more examples of countries that have failed than of those who have succeeded. The successes of Chile, Tunisia, Malaysia, Mauritius, and Botswana can inspire the Malagasy policy makers while showing them which economic policy choices become imperative. This study is divided into four parts. The first part begins with an analysis of Madagascar's economic performance, trying to recall its fragility in spite of the good results recorded over these last few years. This fragility will be highlighted through the relatively narrow basis of the economic growth that has greatly relied on foreign capital inflows, putting the need to follow an adequate foreign exchange management policy at the center of the agenda and, thus, minimize its possible negative impact on exports. The second part will focus on the issue of private sector promotion. Recent diagnoses of Madagascar's economy and the strategy adopted by Malagasy authorities (with the support of its development partners) have shown that to be sustained and shared out over time, economic growth will have to rely on a dynamic and competitive private sector. The third part is dedicated to sharing the fruits of economic growth by giving a special emphasis to the distribution of the benefits related to the large mining and tourism investment projects within the population. These large projects represent a unique opportunity for Madagascar's development but also undoubtedly a danger if they do not allow the emergence of spillover effects among the local businesses and labor force. Finally, the fourth and final part proposes an agenda of economic reforms. Ambition is not to formulate a patchy list of proposals, but rather to propose a series of options that will help address the issues of competitiveness and shared growth that are central to the success of the current strategy followed by the Malagasy authorities.
Madagascar : Back to the Future on the Road to Sustained and Balanced Growth, Country Economic Memorandum, Volume 1, Main Report

(Washington, DC, 2008-12) World Bank

The objective of this study is to accompany Malagasy authorities in their transition towards economic emergence. If the contribution of foreign capital and the abundance of natural resources should help the Malagasy economy escape from the poverty trap by increasing its domestic savings and investment capacities, as well as its technological capacities. International experience reminds us that this transition is far from being automatic. Indeed, there are more examples of countries that have failed than of those who have succeeded. The successes of Chile, Tunisia, Malaysia, Mauritius, and Botswana can inspire the Malagasy policy makers while showing them which economic policy choices become imperative. This study is divided into four parts. The first part begins with an analysis of Madagascar's economic performance, trying to recall its fragility in spite of the good results recorded over these last few years. This fragility will be highlighted through the relatively narrow basis of the economic growth that has greatly relied on foreign capital inflows, putting the need to follow an adequate foreign exchange management policy at the center of the agenda and, thus, minimize its possible negative impact on exports. The second part will focus on the issue of private sector promotion. Recent diagnoses of Madagascar's economy and the strategy adopted by Malagasy authorities (with the support of its development partners) have shown that to be sustained and shared out over time, economic growth will have to rely on a dynamic and competitive private sector. The third part is dedicated to sharing the fruits of economic growth by giving a special emphasis to the distribution of the benefits related to the large mining and tourism investment projects within the population. These large projects represent a unique opportunity for Madagascar's development but also undoubtedly a danger if they do not allow the emergence of spillover effects among the local businesses and labor force. Finally, the fourth and final part proposes an agenda of economic reforms. Ambition is not to formulate a patchy list of proposals, but rather to propose a series of options that will help address the issues of competitiveness and shared growth that are central to the success of the current strategy followed by the Malagasy authorities.