60334 b Ma a e n P ro ma c s e s n De t n g me t e f r n eA s s me t De A ( MP ) h a i T eG mb a p i2 1 A rl 0 0 h e A s to oo y o s e s n ul et c n g me t ef ma c o T e D MP i a meh d lg fra s s ig p bi d b ma a e n p r r n e ho g o rh n i e o idc o s p n ig h ula g f o en n d b v a tr u hac mp e e s es t fn i tr s a nn teflrn eo g v r me t e t n g me t u ci s t s d pe r o o ma a e n fn t n . I i a a td f m te P bi E p n i r a d Fn n il h c u u l x e dt e n ia c a c o na it P F ) r i a wo k T e e A o l rs ns h 5 e t ef ma c o A c u tbly( E A f me r. h D MP to p e e t te1 d b p r r n e n i o s ln a t h crn to oo y T e e A o ls o lme td y idc tr ao g wi as o ig meh d lg . h D MP to i c mpe ne b a ud h t rvd s u pe na no mai o o h s f h n i os g ie ta p o ie s p lme tl ifr t n fr te u e o te idc tr. a o a dt n lno mai n h i o r a ks e t n g me t e h i d a F r d io a ifr t no teWo l B n ' D b Ma a e n T c nc l s i a c r g a ic ig s u r n h e A o l pe s i t ui bi t t A s tn e Po rm, n ldn mo e o te D MP T o, la e vs o rwe s e a: t /www wo lb n .r / e t p ht:/ d . r a ko g d b Contents 1 Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................... 2 1.1 Recent and On-going Reforms...................................................................................................... 4 2 Background ................................................................................................................................................ 4 2.1 Country Background ....................................................................................................................... 4 2.2 Debt and Debt Sustainability Outlook .......................................................................................... 5 3 DeMPA Assessment ................................................................................................................................... 8 3.1 Scoring Methodology ...................................................................................................................... 8 3.2 Summary of the 2010 DeMPA Exercise ....................................................................................... 10 3.3 Assessment of Each Dimension .................................................................................................... 12 3.3.1 DPI-1 Legal Framework .............................................................................................................. 12 3.3.2 DPI-2 Managerial Structure ....................................................................................................... 14 3.3.3 DPI-3 Debt Management Strategy ......................................................................................... 16 3.3.4 DPI-4 Evaluation of Debt Management Operations ........................................................... 17 3.3.5 DPI-5 Audit ................................................................................................................................... 18 3.3.6 DPI-6 Coordination with Fiscal Policy ...................................................................................... 19 3.3.7 DPI-7 Coordination with Monetary Policy .............................................................................. 19 3.3.8 DPI-8 Domestic Market Borrowing ........................................................................................... 20 3.3.9 DPI-9 External Borrowing ........................................................................................................... 22 3.3.10 DPI-10 Loan Guarantees, On-lending, and Derivatives ................................................. 23 3.3.11 DPI-11 Cash Flow Forecasting and Cash Balance Management ................................ 24 3.3.12 DPI-12 Debt Administration and Data Security ................................................................ 25 3.3.13 DPI-13 Segregation of Duties, Staff Capacity, and Business Continuity ...................... 26 3.3.14 DPI-14 Debt Records .............................................................................................................. 27 3.3.15 DPI-15 Debt Reporting ........................................................................................................... 28 Annex 1: List of Officials Interviewed ........................................................................................................... 29 Annex 2: Meeting Schedule from 11 to 19 January, 2010 ....................................................................... 32 1 1 Executive Summary During January 11-20, 2010 a team composed of Elizabeth Currie (Lead Financial Officer, BDM), Ian Storkey (debt management expert, World Bank consultant) and Baba Musa (Director Debt Management Department, WAIFEM), travelled to Banjul, The Gambia (henceforth Gambia), to undertake an assessment of the government`s debt management capacity and institutions using the Debt Management Performance Assessment Tool (DeMPA)1. This tool provides a methodology for assessing government debt management performance through a comprehensive set of dimensions spanning the full range of DeM functions. The first time the tool was applied In Gambia was in 2007, when a pilot study was carried out, and this was a follow-up mission. The mission met with the Minister of Finance and Economic Affairs, the Permanent Secretary and his Deputy, as well as staff from entities involved in government debt management, including, among others, officials from the Ministry of Finance, the Central Bank of The Gambia, The National Audit Office, the Ministry of Justice, the Social Security Housing Fund and two banks (see Annex 1 for a complete list of the officials met). The DeMPA methodology has evolved since the report made in 2007 and therefore it is not possible to carry out a strict comparison of the two DeMPA reports in terms of individual indicators as the detailed dimensions that make up an indicator are no longer aggregated; instead, each dimension is given a specific score. It is clear however that Gambia`s debt management has progressed substantially in some dimensions during recent years although there are still remaining issues that would benefit from reform and institutional capacity-building. Gambia has progressed in the following areas, among others: There is now a medium-term debt management strategy in place, which is an essential pillar to sound practice; ideally it will be reviewed annually by staff of the Directorate of Debt Management (DDM) to analyse if there is a need for modifications given changes in the macroeconomic and market environment. There is a stronger institutionalized coordination between the Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs (MoFEA) and the Central Bank of Gambia (CBG) through the Memorandum of Understanding of 2007, which clearly established coordination mechanisms as well as roles and functions related to debt management. This MOU should be reviewed periodically, to examine the implications of a more active role for MoFEA in the development of the domestic market, including a closer approximation to local investors. The MOU should also include the function for MoFEA of updating the design of the medium-term debt management strategy and monitoring its implementation, as it provides the guidelines for the CBG in its functions related to government debt management. The Government of Gambia (GoG) organized and carried out two Debt Sustainability Analyses, in 2007 with the help of outside parties and then again in 2009, thus reflecting greater in-house technical capacity and providing stronger coordination between debt management and fiscal policy implementation. The GoG has strengthened the staffing arrangements and training in DDM, as well as the back office operational framework, thus improving analytical capacity and reducing operational risk for the MoFEA. 1 The December 2009 version of the DeMPA tool was applied. 2 However, there is still room for improvement, particularly in those areas where the minimum requirements for effective performance in debt management have not been met, including the following: Coordination with monetary policy continues to be weak. There is no clear separation between monetary policy operations and debt management transactions. Furthermore, the GoG does not adhere to the ceilings imposed by legislation on access to financing from CBG. Cash management also needs to be strengthened. There is no formal monthly information sharing on central government cash flows with CBG. A related issue is the weak cash flow forecasting and cash balance management, which has an important impact on public debt management, in particular on the ability to formulate a forward-looking debt strategy. It is expected that with a deepening of the utilization of the IFMIS capabilities there will be an improvement in cash forecasting and management. Government guarantees and on-lending appear to be disconnected from debt reporting and record keeping. The management of external debt needs strengthening: there is very little assessment of the most beneficial or cost-effective terms and conditions of external debt and there is no yearly external debt borrowing plan. MoFEA is promoting greater transparency and better accountability, through the Quarterly Report supplied by the Directorate of Debt Management (DDM), but it lacks updated data and risk indicators. Also there are problems in complying with contractual reporting requirements. Control mechanisms are weak. There are no Procedures Manuals for debt negotiations and transactions ­and for on-lending and guarantees­ as well as for debt analysis and risk monitoring, although we understand that an external consultant is currently working on this. Procedures manuals are even more important because the external and internal audit of public debt is weak and because of the lack of a risk-monitoring and compliance function in Directorate of Debt Management. Finally, it is important to create an operational risk management plan including business-continuity and disaster-recovery arrangements, not only in terms of IT but also with reference to staff. One possible path for the GoG would be to design a reform plan that would address these weaknesses through a carefully crafted critical route, and, if need be, with the help of external technical assistance. The results of this assessment show that 18 dimensions warranted an overall score of C or better, demonstrating compliance with the minimum requirement, while a total of 15 dimensions did not meet the minimum requirement at the time of the mission (2 additional dimensions were not applicable). The scores of D correspond to auditing; coordination with monetary policy; external borrowing; loan guarantees and on-lending; cash-flow forecasting and cash balance management; reporting and operational risk management/business-continuity/disaster-recovery plans and one dimension of debt administration and data security. 3 1.1 Recent and On-going Reforms Since its creation in 2000, the Directorate of Debt Management (DDM) of MoFEA has benefited from capacity-building support and technical assistance provided by the African Development Bank (ADB), the Commonwealth Secretariat (COMSEC), the West African Institute of Financial and Economic Management (WAIFEM) and Debt Relief International (DRI). With funding from DFID, TA was provided by WAIFEM and DRI in building institutional and governance capacity, including a schedule of duties and responsibilities for DDM staff, external and domestic debt management, debt sustainability analysis (DSA), debt strategy analysis, macroeconomic projections, debt recording and debt negotiations. The COMSEC also assisted DDM in the areas of debt recording, domestic debt management and the development of a medium-term debt management strategy. The African Development Bank finances the cost of a resident debt adviser at MoFEA and supports staff development by funding higher degree training abroad, especially at the master`s level. Another important related progress is MoFEA`s implementation of the Integrated Financial Management Information System (IFMIS), aimed at improving budget execution; it is at the stage of rolling out the system to the remaining sites within government, ensuring the effective use of cash and procurement modules and procedures and integrating the payroll module to human resource procedures within government. Furthermore, there is an ongoing civil service reform, which is designed to attract and retain skilled staff; the government`s wage bill is budgeted to increase by 35 percent in 2010. The increase ­ originally planned for 2009, but delayed by a year due to budgetary constraints ­ is part of a comprehensive civil service reform strategy prepared with World Bank support. This should help to attract and retain qualified staff in DDM. The mission notes that given that several reforms are currently being implemented, it is to be expected that future DeMPA evaluations will show stronger scores. At this moment there is institutional capacity-building in the area of the IFMIS and cash management; the design of Procedures Manuals for DDM, and the design of a draft bill on Public Debt Management which would provide a more strategic, objectives-based legal orientation to debt management. 2 Background 2.1 Country Background The Gambia is the smallest country in the African continental mainland. It is a poor country with a GNI per capita of US$360 in 2008 and has a relatively undiversified economy, limited by a small internal market. Tourism is a key driver of the economy and the country`s most significant foreign exchange earner. Agriculture accounts for approximately a third of GDP and more than 75 percent of employment in crops and livestock farming. Groundnut farming is the most important agricultural engagement in the country, accounting for approximately 60 percent of domestic exports. There are small-scale manufacturing activity features in processing of peanuts, fish and hides. Liberal trade policies and an efficient port infrastructure have allowed the country to act as a regional re-export hub2. 2 Gambia CFAA/PEFA Report, 2009. 4 Gambia is registering a moderate slowdown in economic growth. Real GDP growth is projected to reach 4.8 percent, down from 6.1 percent in 2009, with growth driven primarily by the good performance of the groundnut and rice harvest and to a lesser extent by new investments in the telecommunications sector. Other economic sectors, including tourism and housing construction, have been affected by the economic slowdown. Given the uncertainty in weather conditions for agriculture and the prevailing weakness in some countries with economic linkages to Gambia, there are downside risks to the outlook for 2010. Inflation, which has already fallen considerably in 2009, is expected to remain below 6 percent starting from 2010. This evolving situation is reflected in the fiscal accounts, with lower tax revenues and high domestic spending expected to lead to a 0.9 percent of GDP deficit in the basic fiscal balance, compared to the surplus originally envisioned in the budget. Most of this deficit is being financed through higher domestic borrowing, bidding up interest rates 3. As a result, domestic interest payments were projected to reach 3.3 percent of GDP by end-2009, up from slightly over 3 percent in 2008. In 2008, the external current account deficit, including official transfers, increased to almost 17 percent of GDP mainly because of decreased tourism and remittances. The re-export trade also declined significantly due in part to improvement of port facilities in neighbouring countries. According to the IMF, performance under the three-year Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF) supported program has been generally positive. All end-September 2009 quantitative performance criteria were met, except for the fiscal target, which was missed due to large spending overruns in the second quarter of 20094. 2.2 Debt and Debt Sustainability Outlook Gambia reached the completion point under the HIPC process in December 2007 and qualified for debt relief from MDRI. Despite the debt relief received under HIPC and MDRI which reduced debt to GDP ratios from 187 percent in 2006 to close to 75 percent in 2009 (Table 1), Gambia is faced with high risk of debt distress on its public external debt front, based both on the IMF-WB 2008 DSA and on GoG own DSA carried out to support its deliberations with the IMF on the Fourth Review of the PRGF program. The high risk of public external debt distress is attributed to the country`s inadequate foreign exchange income available from exports for servicing its foreign currency debt liabilities. This has imposed limitations on its access to external borrowings, currently mainly restricted to highly concessional borrowings from official creditors. 3Technically, the Government of Gambia (GoG) is financing its cash flow shortfalls through overdrafts at CBG, which then drains the additional liquidity in the financial system by issuing Treasury bills. 4IMF, Press Release No. 09/379, November 5, 2009 IMF concludes Visit to The Gambia for the Sixth Review of the 3-Year Program Under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility. 5 Table 1 - Evolution of Public Debt in Gambia 2001 ­ 2009 Amounts in US$ millions 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Domestic Debt 147.3 120.1 90.7 135.7 237.5 271.0 239.9 220.2 219.3 External Debt 490.4 528.8 555.2 587.6 621.4 676.7 294.4 348.1 380.6 Total Public Debt 637.7 648.9 645.9 723.3 858.9 947.7 534.3 568.3 599.9 Debt Ratios (%) 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Domestic Debt/GDP 35.3 32.5 25.3 33.8 51.5 53.3 36.9 30.4 27.4 External Debt /GDP 117.4 143.0 154.9 146.5 134.7 133.2 45.2 48.1 47.6 Public Debt/GDP 152.6 175.5 180.2 180.4 186.2 186.5 82.1 78.5 74.9 GDP 417.8 369.7 358.4 401.0 461.3 508.2 650.8 723.7 800.4 NOTES 1) External debt statistics up to 2007 are based on IMF statistics. 2) All GDP figures (at current prices) are based on Gambia Bureau of Statistics estimates. 3) All 2009 figures are rough estimates for the whole year. 4) In 1997 domestic debt/GDP diminishes due to payment of ways and means to Central Bank of Gambia. Source:MoFEA In addition to the concessional borrowing restriction, the country`s ability to access external debt financing is further constrained by its rating as a poor performer under the World Bank CPIA assessment5. The debt portfolio consists mostly (more than two thirds of total) of highly concessional external debt, with residual financing (close to one third of total) in domestic borrowings, mainly in Treasury bills (T-bills). The risks inherent in this strategy involve: i) substantial currency risk, and ­ given the high levels of T-bills­ ii) significant interest rate risk and iii) refinancing risk. Foreign currency risk: more than two-thirds of total public debt denominated in foreign currency exposes the debt portfolio to significant exchange rate risk. While there is limited risk to the budget from changes in exchange rates (given that amortizations are gradual and interest rates are very low) there is significant risk in terms of increasing the size of the debt, which is important for Gambia taking into account the country is considered to be in high distress for external debt. Within the foreign currency portfolio and after splitting baskets of currencies6, the USD is the most important foreign currency with 45 percent of total, the Euro 16 percent, the JPY 8 percent and local currency 32 percent. This is an important consideration given the historical depreciation of the dalasi versus the US dollar: an average annual depreciation from 2000 to 2009 of 9.4 percent7. 5 Gambia is a weak performer based on the World Bank`s 2008 CPIA rating with corresponding lower thresholds of debt ratios for assessing external debt sustainability based on the LIC-DSF framework. 6 The Gambia: Medium-Term Debt Management Strategy 2010-2012. Although the portfolio had 11 currencies, they were transformed to one of four currencies: USD, EUR, JPY and GMD; the basket currencies were all assumed to be equivalent to SDR and were split into the component currencies according to the composition of the SDR at end of December 2008. 7The annual average depreciation ranged between a maximum of 38.5 percent in 2003 and a minimum of -11.5 percent in 2007. 6 Figure 1: Currency Composition of Outstanding Debt (End 2008) EUR BUA Distribution by Aggregate Currency 6% JPK CHF 5% CNY (USD million) KWD EUR (December 2008) GMD 6% JPK 32% KWD USD $ 227.10 45% SAR EUR $ 79.10 16% USD USD JPY $ 41.30 8% 26% XDR XDR GMD $ 161.30 32% XID XID 13% 8% GMD Total $ 508.80 100% Source: MoFEA The Gambia: Medium-Term Debt Management Strategy 2010-2012 Interest rate risk: although the entire portfolio is virtually based on fixed interest rates, there is high interest rate risk associated with domestic debt which is dominated by T-bills. Figure 2: Redemption Profile of Existing Debt (End 2008) Repayment Profile of Outstanding Debt (as % of GDP) 30% 25% 20% Domestic External 15% 21.6% 10% 5% 1.7% 1.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 3.1% 0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: MoFEA The Gambia: Medium-Term Debt Management Strategy 2010-2012 Refinancing risk: Although there is little refinancing risk arising from foreign currency debt, there is very significant domestic debt refinancing exposure. The average time to maturity of the external debt is 14.5 years, but is reduced to approximately10 years due to short (less than one year) average time to maturity of domestic debt. Large debt service obligations are crowding out other expenditure programs. 8 Interest on government debt is expected to consume nearly 25 percent of overall budget allocation in 2009, most of which is interest on domestic debt. Interest payments on domestic public debt, estimated at 4.5 percent of GDP in 2009, represent a critical issue. According to the World Bank`s Public Expenditure Review Concept Note, the sharp increase in domestic interest rates is due 8 The Gambia, Public Expenditure Review Concept Note, December 2009. 7 primarily to government borrowing, although the sterilization of capital inflows and the devaluation of the dalasi have also played a role 9. In contrast to a slight reduction in domestic debt that was planned for the 2009 Budget, the spending overruns led to more debt and increased pressure on interest rates. Any further increase in debt obligations would aggravate the crowding out effect that interest payments exert on other expenditure programs. Figure 4: Allocations in the 2009 Budget (%) Source: The Gambian authorities. Integrated Financial Management Information System. 3 DeMPA Assessment 3.1 Scoring Methodology The DeMPA comprises a set of 15 Debt Management Performance Indicators (DPIs) that in turn are differentiated into 35 dimensions. These encompass the full spectrum of government debt management (DeM) operations, as well as the overall environment in which these operations are conducted. While the DeMPA does not provide recommendations on reforms and/or capacity and institution building needs, the performance indicators/dimensions do stipulate a minimum standard that should be met under all conditions. Consequently, if the assessment shows that the minimum requirements are not met, this will clearly indicate an area requiring attention or priority reform. The scope of the DeMPA is central government debt management activities and closely related functions such as issuance of loan guarantees, on-lending, and cash flow forecasting and cash balance management. Thus, the DeMPA does not assess the ability to manage the wider public 9 In the IMF`s Sixth Review of the extended Credit Facility, one major point is that fiscal discipline slipped in 2009, relative to initial budget objectives. Large overruns in expenditures, mostly during the second quarter, led to unanticipated domestic borrowing and additional pressure on T-bill yields. Corrective action focused on the 2010 budget, which aims for a near-zero basic balance and a slight reduction in domestic debt. Likewise, another discussion point is that while monetary policy will continue to focus on maintaining low inflation, there is scope to ease pressure on interest rates by relying more on central bank sales of foreign exchange--rather than T-bills--to mop up liquidity generated by donor-financed government spending. 8 debt, including implicit contingent liabilities (such as liabilities of the pension system, losses of SOEs, etc.), as well as debt of SOEs, if these are not guaranteed by the central government. Each DPI has one or more dimensions linked to the subject of the DPI. Each of these dimensions is assessed separately. In the past, the aggregate score of each indicator was based on the assessments for the individual dimensions of the indicator. However, important information was lost in the aggregation, and as such the DeMPA methodology now disaggregates the scores for the different dimensions and does not aggregate these for any one indicator. The scoring methodology assesses each dimension and assigns a score of either A, B or C based on the criteria listed. The evaluation starts by checking whether the minimum requirement for that dimension has been met, corresponding to a score of C. A minimum requirement is the necessary condition for effective performance under the particular dimension being measured. If the minimum requirements set out in C are not met, then a D score is assigned. In the cases where a dimension cannot be assessed, an N/R (not rated or assessed) score is assigned. The A score reflects sound practice for that particular dimension of the indicator. The B score is an in- between score lying between the minimum requirements and sound practice. 9 3.2 Summary of the 2010 DeMPA Exercise Performance Indicators and Dimensions Score DPI-1 1. The existence, coverage and content of the legal framework. C Legal Framework DPI-2 1. The managerial structure for borrowings and debt-related C transactions. Managerial Structure 2. The managerial structure for preparation and issuance of loan B guarantees. DPI-3 1. The quality of the DMS document. C DeM Strategy 2. The decision-making process, updating, publication of the C DeM strategy. DPI-4 1. Level of disclosure of government DeM activities, central C government debt, evaluation of outcomes, and compliance Evaluation of DeM with the government`s DMS. Operations DPI-5 1. Frequency of internal/external audit of central government D DeM activities, policies, operations, publication of external audit Audit reports. 2. Degree of commitment to address the outcomes from audits. N/R DPI-6 1. Coordination with fiscal policy--through the provision of C accurate and timely forecasts on total and debt service under Fiscal Policy different scenarios. Coordination 2. Availability of key fiscal variables and a DSA, and the C frequency of DSA. DPI-7 1. Separation between monetary policy operations and DeM D transactions. Monetary Policy Coordination 2. Coordination, regular information sharing on debt transactions D and government`s cash flows with the central bank. 3. Extent of a limit to direct access of resources from the Central D Bank. DPI-8 1. Market-based mechanisms to issue debt, preparation and C publication of a borrowing plan for government bonds-- Domestic wholesale and retail markets. Borrowing 2. Availability and quality of documented procedures for C domestic borrowing. DPI-9 1. Assessment of most beneficial/cost-effective borrowing D terms/conditions. External Borrowing 2. Availability and quality of documented procedures for D external borrowings. 3. Degree of involvement of legal advisers before signing the B loan contract. 10 DPI-10 1. Availability and quality of documented policies and D procedures for approval and issuance of central government Loan Guarantees, loan guarantees. On-lending, Derivatives 2. Availability and quality of documented policies/procedures for D on-lending borrowed funds. 3. Availability/quality of a DeM system, procedures to handle N/R derivatives. DPI-11 1. Effectiveness of forecasting aggregate level of cash balances D in government bank accounts. Cash Flow Forecasting, Cash 2. Effectiveness of managing aggregate cash balance in D Balance government bank account(s), including integration with the Management domestic debt borrowing program. DPI-12 1. Availability/quality of documented procedures for processing C debt service. Debt Administration and 2. Availability and quality of documented procedures for debt D Data Security data recording, validation, storing of agreements and debt administration. 3. Availability and quality of documented procedures for C controlling access to government debt recording and management systems. 4. Frequency and off-site, secure storage of debt recording B system backups. DPI-13 1. Segregation of duties for some key functions, presence of a C risk-monitoring and compliance function. Segregation of Duties, Capacity, 2. Staff capacity and human resource management. C Business Continuity 3. Presence of an operational risk management plan, business- D continuity, disaster- recovery arrangements. DPI-14 1. Completeness and timeliness of central government debt B records. Debt Records 2. Complete and up-to-date records of all holders of A government securities in a secure registry system. DPI-15 1. Meet statutory/contractual reporting requirements of central D government debt to all entities. Debt Reporting 2. Meeting statutory and contractual reporting requirements for D total nonfinancial public sector debt and loan guarantees to all entities. 3. Quality/timeliness of debt statistical bulletin covering central D government debt. 11 3.3 Assessment of Each Dimension 3.3.1 DPI-1 Legal Framework Dimension Score The existence, coverage, and content of the legal framework C The most important primary legislation covering debt management is the Government Budget Management and Accountability Act (GBMA Act) 2004, which states in Section 35 that the Secretary of State (re-named Minister of Finance) in charge of the MoFEA is the only government official entitled to borrow money from any legal entity or person and to enter into a guarantee or indemnity with third parties. It further states that public enterprises and local authorities can only borrow from local and external sources through MoFEA. In addition, the Act determines that the Minister of Finance chooses the form of borrowing and the terms, conditions and other characteristics of the funding instruments, subject to the condition that, in matters relevant to monetary policy, he will consult the CBG. The National Assembly ratifies external loans and guarantees. The 1997 Constitution (Section 155) establishes the requirement of ratification in the form of an Act from the National Assembly for i) any guarantee by the Government and ii) any international business or economic transaction to which the Government proposes to become a party. This is acceptable in terms of the DeMPA methodology, whereby after delegation by the National Assembly to the Executive branch to approve single borrowings, the Assembly ratifies certain borrowings in accordance with the law of the country, in particular, international agreements with International Financial Institutions or sovereign governments. The Constitution (Section 155(6)) establishes that the President shall, at such times as the National Assembly may require, present to the National Assembly such information as he or she may have relating to i) the granting of loans, their servicing and repayment, and ii) the payment into the Consolidated fund or other public fund of money derived from loans raised from institutions outside The Gambia. Section 37 of GBMA Act lays out the purposes for borrowing, namely: i) to finance budget deficits; ii) to refinance maturing debt or a loan to be paid before a redemption date; iii) to maintain credit balances on the Treasury Main Account; and iv) for any other purpose approved by the National Assembly by special resolution. However, the Act does not lay out objectives for debt management, which typically include funding the government`s needs while minimizing cost within prudent risk limits and developing the government`s domestic debt market. Neither does it establish requirements for MoFEA to design a medium-term debt management strategy that should be updated on a yearly basis, nor to report to the National Assembly on the strategy`s implementation. These are necessary conditions for a higher DeMPA score. Articles 158 to 160 of the Constitution deal with the Auditor General and the National Audit Office (NAO). The NAO has a constitutional mandate to audit all public funds. The Auditor General is appointed by the President after consultation with the Public Service Commission and is required by the Constitution to submit the audit report to the National Assembly within six months of the end of the immediately preceding financial year. Section 38 of GBMA Act establishes that the CBG will provide the Minister of Finance with the banking services required for the execution of decisions on Government debts. Likewise, the Central Bank of the Gambia Act (2005) establishes that the Bank is entrusted with the issue and 12 management of domestic debt issued on the terms and conditions that are agreed upon between the Government and the Bank. While the CBG does indeed play the role of fiscal agent for the GoG in primary issuance of domestic government securities, it also plays the role of a principal debt issuer, inasmuch as it issues these same securities for the purpose of monetary policy implementation. It does not issue its own securities as it was agreed the GoG would bear the cost of monetary policy implementation. Since 1986 the CBG has issued T-bills on behalf of the GoG to absorb excess liquidity and contain inflationary pressures following the introduction of the flexible exchange rate regime in that year. Simultaneously, however, part of the T-bill amount issued is determined by the GoG`s funding needs. The authorities have expressed concern about this situation: The Authorities are also aware of the policy conflicts that could arise as a result of the different objectives of domestic debt management and monetary policies.10 Given this duality of roles, in 2007 a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) was drawn up between MoFEA and CBG establishing a cooperation framework between the two entities in the domain of domestic debt management and monetary operations, which clarified the roles and responsibilities of each institution as well as coordination mechanisms, namely, different committees at different policy-making and operational levels, including the Treasury Bills Committee discussed below (see DPI-2). This separation of functions (see DPI-2 for details) gives a general macroeconomic (fiscal) policy role to MoFEA but does not clearly specify the need for MoFEA to provide a debt management strategy or guidelines, including a domestic debt market component which may seek to further develop the market. Furthermore, as MoFEA has serious difficulties in providing weekly forecasts of financing requirements, which was a responsibility specified in the MOU, CBG largely determines the weekly T-bill amount to be issued on the basis of its own calculations (the analysis of liquidity, the roll-over of maturing bills and estimated GoG funding needs). Score: The two basic criteria for meeting a score of C are met. The primary legislation gives an authorization to a single government entity (MoFEA) to approve borrowing and guarantees on behalf of the central government. Admittedly, there is an exception to this inasmuch as CBG also issues government paper for both monetary and fiscal policy implementation and takes important decisions (e.g. amounts) on weekly T-bill auctions. However, this takes place with MoFEA`s explicit endorsement, which is formalized through an MOU signed by the Minister of Finance and the Governor. The second criteria of primary legislation is also met, namely, the inclusion of a definition of the purposes for borrowing. In order to obtain a higher score clear debt management objectives would be needed within the primary legislation, as well as the inclusion of the requirement to produce a medium-term debt management strategy and mandatory annual reporting to Parliament covering the evaluation of outcomes against the debt management objectives. The score of C has not changed since the 2007 DeMPA report. 10 Memorandum of Understanding between GoG and CBG (2007). 13 3.3.2 DPI-2 Managerial Structure Dimensions Score 1. The managerial structure for central government borrowings and debt-related C transactions 2. The managerial structure for preparation and issuance of central government B loan guarantees Central government borrowing and debt-related transactions are undertaken by both MoFEA and CBG; the latter acts as fiscal agent to the GoG but in addition issues domestic government securities ­mainly T-bills­ in the primary market for implementation of both monetary policy and for funding the government`s fiscal deficits. Traditionally there has been a basic division in debt management responsibilities with DDM primarily responsible for external multi- and bilateral debt (involving front, limited middle and back office functions), and CBG`S Banking Department - responsible for domestic market debt (front, middle and back office functions, although some of the latter are also carried out by DDM in terms of debt recording in CS-DRMS). Aware of the potential difficulties caused by the primary issuer role of CBG in the domestic market, in 2007 the two entities signed the MOU. This agreement establishes that the prime responsibilities of MoFEA related to domestic debt management include: setting the overall economic policy objectives of GoG; providing weekly forecasts of budget deficit financing requirements to CBG that include details of planned revenues and expenditures; bearing the cost of monetary policy implementation, at least for some period; ensuring that proceeds from the sale of T-bills for liquidity management are maintained in a sterilized account at CBG and avoiding direct involvement in the operational activities of CBG. In turn, CBG is assigned specific functions, including: acting as banker, financial advisor and fiscal agent of GoG as stipulated in the CBG Act; setting interest rates; if necessary participating weekly in the primary market of securities and daily in the secondary market, to manage liquidity; ensuring that the proceeds from the sale of such instruments are placed in a separate blocked account to which MoFEA does not have access (although the operation of the blocked account is reviewed by the two entities on a semi-annual basis); maintaining a separate account for proceeds of debt instruments available to MoFEA for spending; playing a central role regarding the settlement systems for GoG securities; being responsible for improvements in the payments and settlement infrastructure to enhance the development of the domestic debt markets and implementing adequate information technology to improve the recording and reporting of the domestic debt. In sum, it is given a leading role in domestic debt issuance and domestic debt market development. CBG`s Banking Department staff recently prepared and shared with DDM an Action Plan for the development of the government domestic debt market and also undertook a road-show to gauge investors` demand in medium-term bonds (which however, was not attended by DDM). CBG is designing a Prospectus for the 2-year bonds and a consultative paper on this topic, and will need the Minister`s approval to proceed with this plan. The MOU seeks to promote coordination between the two entities through different policy and operational committees where both entities participate, namely i) the High-level Economic Committee; ii) the Macro-Economic Committee; iii) the Monetary Policy Committee and iv) the Treasury Bills Committee. The first two address general macroeconomic policy coordination, with the Macro-Economic Committee chaired by the Minister; in turn, this Committee has a Subcommittee of Public Debt Management, again chaired by MoFEA official, with participation 14 from staff of the two entities. Thirdly, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), which meets every two months and is chaired by the Governor of CBG, has the representation with voting rights of two senior officials from MoFEA; this committee sets the policy or discount rate and reviews general monetary conditions. Finally, the weekly Treasury Bills Committee also has the representation of two MoFEA DDM officials (although not senior officials) and is chaired by the Deputy Governor of CBG; its role is to agree on the allocation and cut-off of the weekly T-bill auction and determine the amount to be offered in the following week. In these last two committees it is the CBG ­not the MoFEA`s DDM­ that has the major role in deciding on domestic debt issuance, although it does keep MoFEA informed. In sum, these committees promote the exchange of information and help the two entities to coordinate, although with regards to T-bill issuance, CBG has more influence. The two entities closely coordinate in the DSA exercise, which takes place every two years, approximately. Likewise, when the first medium-term debt management strategy was approved by the Cabinet of Ministers in late 2009, MoFEA`s DDM requested and obtained a formal review from CBG. Score: As there is considerable coordination between MoFEA`s DDM and the CBG`s Banking Department, with formalized delegation from the Minister of Finance for CBG to carry out principal debt management functions related to domestic debt, Dimension 1 is given a score of C. A higher score will be attained when the borrowing decisions are exclusively steered by the debt management strategy in particular in terms of extending the maturities of domestic securities, which is one of the central pillars of the new strategy11. There is an important improvement from the first DeMPA report, as the MOU had not been put into place then and there was no formal coordination between MoFEA`s DDM and CBG`s Banking Department. As for Dimension 2, loan guarantees are submitted to MoFEA for DDM to review and recommend to the Minister of Finance, who approves and signs the loan guarantee agreement. DDM reviews the information provided by the Parastatal, including its payment capacity. Subsequently, DDM records the loan guarantees but does not separately report government- guaranteed debt. Thus, this dimension scores a B given that loan guarantees are prepared and issued by a principal guarantee entity, namely DDM. 11On the 1st of March 2010, the MoFEA and CBG introduced the 3-year, fixed interest rate Gambia Government bond instrument, to further develop the financial market. 15 3.3.3 DPI-3 Debt Management Strategy Dimensions Score 1. The quality of the DeM strategy document C 2. The decision-making process, updating, and publication of the DeM strategy C In late 2009, the Cabinet of Ministers approved the Medium-Term Debt Management Strategy 2010-2012 (MTDS), which can be considered as a successful first step in this area of debt management12. This marks an improvement vis-ā-vis the 2007 assessment, when there was no strategy document in place. The MTDS covers at least 90 percent of central government debt (largely external concessional and domestic T-bills) and is medium term in nature. The MTDS should eventually specify targets and ranges for key risk indicators of the portfolio. However, as an interim step, it is sufficient to express the strategy in the form of guidelines for the preferred direction of specific indicators for foreign currency, interest rate and refinancing risk. The Gambia`s MTDS does precisely this: it lays out preferred directions, including reducing the proportion of external debt and increasing that of domestic debt, currently around one third of total debt (December 2009), so as to better manage currency risk; reducing refinancing and interest rate risk by diminishing the proportion of short-term domestic debt (T-bills) and in the near term extending maturities out to 2 years and in the medium term, 5 years (subject to domestic investors` reaction and demand)13. The MTDS clarifies that this extension could initially be adopted by switching some domestic borrowings from T-bill issuance to longer term bonds. It also suggests that, depending on the absorptive capacity, external debt could be substituted with domestic debt (although in view of existing crowding-out issues this is unrealistic). External debt is limited to concessional financing with a minimum grant element of at least 35 percent, and no commercial borrowing is undertaken. There is an increasing role of multilateral creditors such as the Islamic Development Bank and the Arab Bank for Economic Development in Africa. The MTDS takes into account the agreement with the IMF that was made to limit external borrowings within indicative limits ranging from US$40-50 million and to use exclusively concessional sources; in 2009 the indicative limit for external borrowing was further tightened to US$35 million. In the near term, GoG must operate within these restrictions but it hopes that in the medium to long-term, additional external borrowings will be obtained for developmental purposes. The MTDS was prepared largely by COMSEC ­at the request of DDM and with the latter`s informational input­ and adopted with full ownership by the MoFEA authorities. The Minister signed off on the strategy and full authorization was obtained from the Cabinet of Ministers. Subsequently, CBG made a formal review of the strategy and provided comments to DDM. Finally, the MTDS was made publicly available in hard copy and sent to a number of stakeholders, although it is still not published on the website. 12The authorities had agreed to comply with various benchmarks agreed upon under the Fifth Review of the three-year arrangement under the PRGF, and needed to have in place a MTDS by the end of September 2009. In August of 2009 the authorities requested Commonwealth Secretariat`s assistance in formulating such a strategy. 13For the future, the shocks provided in the scenario analysis could be reviewed to better reflect that domestic rates are more volatile than foreign rates; also a steepening of the domestic curve could be taken into account. 16 Score: Dimension 1 is given a score of C in terms of providing the desired direction in terms of managing various types of risk within a cost-risk trade-off and taking into account constraints such as agreements with the IMF. A higher score is not warranted because the strategy does not have target levels for indicators of interest rate, refinancing and foreign currency risk. Dimension 2 has a score of C for the decision-making process and publication as described above. A higher score cannot be given because at present this is the first MTDS and the criteria for score B assesses if the MTDS is updated at least every third year. This can only be evaluated after three years, since the current MTDS was only approved in end-2009. In sum, there has been an important improvement in this component, reflected in the previous score of D strengthening into a C. 3.3.4 DPI-4 Evaluation of Debt Management Operations Dimension Score Level of disclosure--in an annual report or its equivalent--of government DeM C activities, central government debt, evaluation of outcomes against stated objectives, and compliance with the government`s DeM strategy Currently, MoFEA produces a Quarterly Bulletin14 which informs of government debt activities and outstanding central government debt and sent to the National Assembly. The content includes an overview of public debt; the creditor and currency composition of external debt; an analysis of foreign currency (after comparing the currency structure of the debt to the currency structure of the international reserves); refinancing and interest rate risk15; evolution of disbursements by sector; evolution of public debt stock and debt service; evolution of domestic debt and recent level; and a section of Recent Developments in Public Debt Management in The Gambia including a report on the project for improving external debt data quality and a summary of the recently adopted debt management strategy. The report is sent to the National Assembly16 in its hard copy form, but is not published on the website. Score: The minimum requirements for a score of C are complied with, inasmuch as a report providing details of government debt management activities and outstanding central government debt is submitted periodically (quarterly in this case) to the National Assembly 17. Again there is an improvement in this sense from the last DeMPA report, which noted the lack of periodic reports providing details of all government debt management activities. To improve the rating to a B, the Quarterly Report should additionally contain a periodic evaluation of how the government debt management has complied with its strategy. The formalized MTDS was approved in end-2009, and therefore the periodic reporting on 14In the past, the Quarterly Report had existed but was subsequently discontinued; it has now been re- activated and the first publication dated December 2009 has been published in paper form (although it is not placed on MoFEA`s website). It is important this report be continued through time. 15 Interest rate risk is not evaluated correctly as it does not take into account the risk of T-bill rollover. 16In meetings with Members of the National Assembly, it became clear that greater care must be taken so that this report reaches all the members of the Public Finance Committee. 17There is, in addition, an Annual Fiscal Report, with a section on debt management, including loan and grant disbursements and interest payments, but the mission lacked access to this report which we were told that in any case only provides a summary discussion of debt management. 17 compliance of borrowing and other debt-related transactions with the strategy will have to be carried out in the future. 3.3.5 DPI-5 Audit Dimensions Score 1. Frequency of internal and external audit of central government DeM activities, D policies, and operations, as well as publication of external audit reports 2. Degree of commitment to address the outcomes from internal and external N/R audits The Auditor General`s office ­the National Audit Office (NAO)­ is guided by the Constitution and the Finance and Audit Act of 1964 18 and is a semi-autonomous unit, reporting to the National Assembly. It has 81 staff positions, including 38 technical staff, but there are a number of unfilled vacancies. A draft Audit Act is being processed which will provide greater administrative and physical independence to the NAO. One of its most important problems is constrained staff capacity, aggravated by high rotation of staff who are trained in the unit but that subsequently leave as a result of low salaries. The Fiscal Responsibility Act established that the Government`s financial accounts should be updated by March 2010, in order to address a serious backlog of various years in producing financial accounts. Consequently, the NAO has focused on auditing the Government`s financial statements and has not carried out any type of performance auditing of Gambia`s public debt management. It has, however, requested training in performance auditing and has two pilot programs under way on performance auditing; it also requests training in public financial management in general. The Internal Audit Unit of MoFEA was created in the 1970s and has recently been reviewed taking into account the new IFMIS project; greater integration of Internal Audit with the IFMIS team is planned, with training provided by the latter. The unit is gradually being built up and staffed but still lacks a Director. There has been no audit of public debt management by the internal audit function. There are no published reports. Score: The score for Dimension 1 is a D, as an external audit of government debt management activities, polices and operations has not occurred within the five past years. Consequently, Dimension 2 is not rated, as it is not possible to estimate if the relevant decision makers have a commitment to addressing the outcomes from internal and external audits of public debt. There has been no improvement from the situation found in the 2007 DeMPA report. 18According to the 2009 CFAA/PEFA report, Part 2, Articles 158 to 160 of the constitution deals with the Auditor General and the National Audit Office (NAO). Article 158 provides for the appointment and removal of the Auditor General. It is to be noted that in Section 158 (2) that the Auditor General`s appointment shall be made by the President after consultation with the Public Service Commission. The Auditor General`s appointment may be terminated by the President. 18 3.3.6 DPI-6 Coordination with Fiscal Policy Dimensions Score 1. Coordination with fiscal policy through the provision of accurate and timely C forecasts on total central government­debt service under different scenarios 2. Availability of key macro variables and an analysis of debt sustainability, and the C frequency with which it is undertaken DDM provides forecasts by month of central government debt service due and the outstanding stock of debt to Budget Unit. External debt service forecasts are generated by DDM from CS- DRMS and domestic debt service forecasts are obtained from CBG. DDM receives information on key fiscal variables during the budget preparation cycle from Economic Management Policy Unit (EMPU) and CBG. The information flow between Budget Unit and DDM is established, although not formally defined, and iterations during the process of budget preparation are a common feature. While DDM indicated they undertake some sensitivity analyses based on interest and exchange rate shocks, these were assessed to be ad-hoc and not formally produced for inclusion in the Budget. A DSA for The Gambia was prepared in September 2009 covering both domestic and external debt, the second time the DSA has been prepared by GoG. DDM leads the DSA which involves six technical groups and macro variable inputs from the Government Bureau of Statistics (GBOS), EMPU, and CBG. An observer from WAIFEM participates purely in an advisory capacity and in no way detract from the authorities` ability to undertake the DSA entirely by themselves. The preparation takes place over 2-weeks with a lock-up workshop for all participants. The 2009 DSA has been used as input to the 2010 Budget. An earlier DSA was undertaken in February 2007 as part of a Workshop organized by WAIFEM and DRI. Unfortunately, this does mean that the 2007 DSA was undertaken with external assistance and therefore precludes a higher assessment. Score: The regular and extensive information exchange between DDM and the Budget Unit represent the minimum requirements for a score of C for dimension 1. A higher score is not warranted as the mission was informed that sensitivity analyses are done on an ad-hoc basis but no documented evidence was provided and the analysis was not documented in the Budget or MTDS. Having undertaken the DSA in 2009 without external assistance, dimension 2 meets the requirements for a score of C. Again this represents an improvement from the first DeMPA report, when DSA was not being undertaken by GoG. Should GoG continue to undertake a DSA every two years, the score would then improve to a B. 3.3.7 DPI-7 Coordination with Monetary Policy Dimensions Score 1. Clarity of separation between monetary policy operations and DeM transactions D 2. Coordination through regular information sharing on current and future debt D transactions and central government`s cash flows with the central bank 3. Extent of a limit to direct access of resources from the central bank D CBG issues T-Bills on a weekly basis using primary dealers and registered bidders. The responsibilities of CBG and MoFEA are set out in an MOU signed on 28th September 2007. A 19 Monetary Policy Committee, chaired by the Governor CBG and with two high-level representatives from MoFEA meets every two months to set the policy or discount rate and review monetary conditions. A Treasury Bills Committee, chaired by a Deputy Governor and with two representatives from MoFEA, meets weekly to agree the allocation and cut-off of the weekly Treasury bill auction and to determine the amount to be offered the following week. Treasury bills are issued to cover the requirements for both monetary policy and government financing or liquidity requirements, and CBG does not provide a breakdown for the market or MoFEA. While the MOU stipulates that MoFEA should provide weekly forecasts of budget deficit financing requirements to CBG that include details of planned receipts (revenue) and payments (expenditure), feedback indicated that this does not happen. Given the introduction of an IFMIS for the whole of GoG and other ongoing efforts to improve financial management, it should be possible in future for MoFEA to provide such forecasts to CBG in a timely manner19. In the meantime, CBG and the Treasury Bill Committee will make decisions on issuance volumes with effectively a 1-week planning framework. The Central Bank of Gambia Act allows the CBG to extend credit as loans, advances, purchase of T-bills and securities together with money borrowed by the GoG from CBG up to a limit of 10 percent of tax revenue of the previous year. The limit was temporarily increased to 20 percent in 2009 when the limit was exceeded at the end of 2008. While the Act requires the credit to be repaid within six months after it is advanced, data collected and comments by officials during the mission showed that this is a permanent credit facility which is not repaid (for the latter part of 2009, the credit advance was between GMD600 million and GMD800 million) and therefore the Act is not adhered to. Score: The lack of separation of monetary policy operations and DeM transactions and the lack of formal monthly information sharing on central government cash flows represent a failure to meet the minimum requirement for dimensions 1 and 2. This too was noted in the DeMPA 2007 report. It is important for MoFEA to provide to CBG more timely information of public accounts and the status of their cash balances. While there is a ceiling limit imposed by legislation on access to financing from CBG, this is not adhered to and therefore dimension 3 does not meet the minimum requirement. 3.3.8 DPI-8 Domestic Market Borrowing Dimensions Score 1. The extent to which market-based mechanisms are used to issue debt; the C publication of a borrowing plan for T-bills and T-bonds; and the preparation of an annual plan for the aggregate amount of local currency borrowing in the domestic market, divided between the wholesale and retail markets 2. The availability and quality of documented procedures for local currency C borrowing in the domestic market Marketable interest bearing debt constituted 87 percent of the domestic debt portfolio as at 30 September 2009, of which 85 percent comprised T-Bills with maturities of 91-days, 182-days and 364-days and 2 percent Sukuk Al-Salaam bills with maturities of 91-days. CBG introduced the short-dated Sharia-compliant Sukuk Al-Salaam bill in November 2007, which operate on similar 19One suggestion is to roll out the IFMIS to the CBG; this would allow real time reconciliation of all public accounts, as well as real time availability of the status of cash balances in all government accounts. 20 terms and conditions as the conventional T-bills. It is a financial transaction that involves two parties agreeing to carry out the sale and purchase of a notional asset at a future date, but at a predetermined and prepaid price. In The Gambia, gold shall be the notional asset, which CBG is empowered to sell and issue Sukuk Al-Salaam bills on a book entry system. The title is surrendered back to CBG at maturity in exchange of cost plus mark-up. Non-marketable interest bearing debt comprising a Government bond constituted another 4 percent of the domestic debt portfolio which is essentially a perpetual loan issued from CBG to GoG. As noted in the MTDS, there is pressure for GoG to find means to repay this loan in order to provide greater monetary policy flexibility and strengthen the balance sheet of CBG. The remaining 9 percent of the domestic debt portfolio is a non-interest bearing government bond issued to cover revaluation losses of CBG. It should be noted that the overdrawn balances at CBG are not treated as debt and included in the reporting of domestic debt. CBG publishes a calendar of Treasury and Sukuk Al-Salaam bills to be issued for the financial (calendar) year showing the weekly auction dates but with no amounts or maturities. As CBG issues Treasury and Sukuk Al-Salaam bills each week, the calendar is adhered to and the market understands that there will be regular issuance every week. The budget provides an aggregate borrowing requirement but this does not translate into the amounts to be issued by each instrument or borrowing program for the financial year. Moreover, borrowing to meet unexpected financing needs of GoG is met through issuance of T-bills and financing from CBG. Clearly, public financial management is a problem area which reduces the effectiveness of managing domestic debt and the ability of CBG to implement monetary policy. The Treasury Bills Committee meets weekly to review the results of the weekly Treasury bill auction and agree the cut-off and allocation of successful bids, and to set the amounts in each maturity to be auctioned the following week. Tenders are open to the 8 registered primary dealers and non-primary dealers that submit a bid in excess of GMD5 million. CBG published Guidelines for Primary Dealership in Money Market Instruments in November 2005 which together with the bid forms and operational notices published on CBG website set out the terms and conditions for T-bills, borrowing procedures and criteria to access the primary market. A press release was issued by CBG in November 2007 setting out basic terms and conditions for the Sukuk Al-Salaam bills together with instructions to contact CBG for further information. It was necessary for the mission to seek advice from CBG on these terms and conditions as the press release was not with the other documentation on the website under the Securities section. Moreover, CBP has not yet updated the Guidelines or operational notices on the website to incorporate the Sukuk Al-Salaam bills. Score: Given that GoG funds all the of the projected borrowing amount using marketable debt instruments (the non-marketable debt that constitutes 13 percent of the domestic debt portfolio was arranged with CBG for balance sheet reasons and not to meet the Government`s borrowing requirements) and that CBG publishes an annual calendar of Treasury and Sukuk Al- Salaam bills to be issued for the financial year showing the weekly auction dates, this represent the minimum requirements for a score of C for dimension 1. This is another area of progress from the last DeMPA report, when there was no borrowing plan for T-bills. The Guidelines, bid forms, and operational notices for T-bills and Sukuk Al-Salaam bills together with the press release for the latter are deemed sufficient to meet the minimum requirements for a score of C for dimension 2. As it was necessary to request information for Sukuk Al-Salaam bills and the documentation on CBG website has not been updated, a higher score cannot be given. Should CBG update the Guidelines and operational notices to include Sukuk Al-Salaam bills and post them on their website alongside the same information for T-bills, a higher score of B or A would be warranted as was the case with the assessment in the 2007 DeMPA. 21 3.3.9 DPI-9 External Borrowing Dimensions Score 1. Degree of assessment of the most beneficial or cost-effective borrowing terms and D conditions (lender or source of funds, currency, interest rate, and maturity) 2. Availability and quality of documented procedures for external borrowings D 3. Availability and degree of involvement of legal advisors before signing of the loan B contract External borrowing has to comply with the new borrowing benchmarks and parameters set out in the PRGF program with the IMF except for the ceiling or cap on the quantity and sources of finance. The three year arrangement under the PRGF recommends that all foreign borrowing have a grant element of 45 percent. At the same time, an indicative limit on the total amount of new external borrowing was agreed which is revised periodically based on the external debt sustainability considerations. The limit was set at U$50 million for 2007 and reduced to US$35 million for 2009 as a result of the deteriorating outlook for the external debt sustainability of The Gambia. Therefore the emphasis of foreign funding in recent years has been to borrow at highly concessional rates from multilateral and bilateral sources providing loans for developmental purposes. However, GoG has misgivings in the ceiling set and has expressed concern on its potency vis-ā-vis the resource requirement to grow out of poverty. The new policy direction for GoG set out in the MTDS will be on mobilizing additional financing such as grants and concessional loans that have a minimum grant element of 35 percent for social sector and/or poverty reduction programmes. The minimum grant element is reduced to 25 percent for infrastructure-based projects such as roads, transportations, communications etc, and commercial financing for public infrastructure that are self-financing in nature such as electricity and port facilities. Multilateral creditors accounted for 84 percent of total external borrowing in 2007. Following MDRI debt relief at the end of December 2007, the share of multilateral debt declined to 65 percent at the end of 2008, with debt relief mainly from IDA and AfDB. More recently, multilateral creditors like the Islamic Development Bank (IDB) and the Arab Bank for Economic Development in Africa (BADEA) have been more willing to lend to The Gambia at the highly concessional rates agreed to with the IMF. The first step for MoFEA with external borrowing is the receipt of an offer either directly or through a government agency or parastatal. In practice, agencies and parastatals obtain external loans through the Central Government, which negotiates and signs any external loans and then on- lends the funds. MoFEA including DDM will prepare a technical assessment incorporating a cost- benefit analysis of the project including the financing proposed and feasibility study of the project itself. A multidisciplinary team is formed comprising of the Permanent Secretary of MoFEA, Directors of DDM, EMPU and Treasury, a representative from the Ministry of Justice (MOJ), and a technical expert from the agency or project implementing unit. The multidisciplinary team travel to negotiate with the donor/funding agency. On completion of loan negotiations, the Minister of Finance signs the loan agreement. While all new borrowing is on highly concessional terms, with most from multilateral funding agencies on fixed terms and conditions, there is no assessment of the most beneficial or cost- effective terms and conditions. This should become more important with new funding sources such as IDB, BADEA and new bilateral funding agencies. In addition, GoG does not prepare a yearly borrowing plan. DDM does not have internal documented procedures for all external borrowings, although there does exist draft Guidelines that sets out the purposes of borrowing, 22 loan approval process, terms of new external borrowing, and loan negotiation process. Following each new borrowing and on receipt of the loan agreement, DDM staff prepare a form that is used to extract the loan details from the loan agreement into a format that can be more easily entered into CS-DRMS by back office staff responsible for debt data. This cannot be seen as a term sheet as it is not prepared by those that participated in the loan negotiation, it is prepared by back office staff. A representative from MOJ is provided with the loan documentation including the technical assessment and joins the process when the team heads off for loan negotiations. The representative participates fully in the negotiation process, provides a legal opinion and ensures all legal documentation is in order. Score: Given that the minimum requirements for dimensions 1 and 2 are not met, these are scored as a D, the same rating as that given in the initial DeMPA. As the MOJ is involved during a substantial part of the negotiation process, this meets the requirements for a score of B. 3.3.10 DPI-10 Loan Guarantees, On-lending, and Derivatives Dimensions Score 1. Availability and quality of documented policies and procedures for approval and D issuance of central government loan guarantees 2. Availability and quality of documented policies and procedures for on-lending of D borrowed funds 3. Availability of a DeM system with functionalities for handling derivatives and N/R availability and quality of documented procedures for the use of derivatives As noted under DPI-2, it is a requirement that all loan guarantees are submitted to MoFEA for DDM to review and recommend to the Minister of Finance, who approves and signs the loan guarantee agreement. DDM records the loan guarantees but does not prepare reports on government guaranteed debt. The mission was not provided with any information on the number or guaranteed loans or the level of guarantees. GoG does not charge a guarantee fee. There are no documented policies and procedures for central government loan guarantees. GoG is not active in providing on-lending of borrowed funds as currently there is only one on-lent loan. DDM records the on-lending in CS-DRMS but this is not reported in any of the debt statistics. There are no documented policies and procedures for government on-lending. Score: Given the absence of documented policies and procedures for both loan guarantees and on-lending of borrowed funds, dimensions 1 and 2 do not meet the minimum requirements and therefore scored as a D. This has not changed from the first DeMPA report. As GoG does not use derivatives, dimension 3 is not rated. 23 3.3.11 DPI-11 Cash Flow Forecasting and Cash Balance Management Dimensions Score 1. Effectiveness of forecasting the aggregate level of cash balances in government D bank accounts 2. Effectiveness of managing the aggregate cash balance in government bank D accounts, including the integration with the domestic debt borrowing program The Budget Unit in MoFEA makes annual budgetary provision for debt service. The Budget is not broken down into manageable cycles (e.g. monthly or quarterly) so as to identify the timing of the cash flows. The Accountant-General`s Department is responsible for ensuring that there is cash to pay all central government payments and debt service. Payment of debt is a priority and it is ensured that cash is made available to pay on due dates. All government bank accounts are maintained at the CBG. The Gambia Revenue Authority (GRA) maintains transit revenue bank accounts in the regions at Trust Bank Limited, which transfers proceeds in the accounts twice weekly to CBG. Bank reconciliation is automated and done daily by Accountant-General (AG). The accounting system can consolidate cash balances held at CBG. The consolidated balance will not show the true cash position of the government since there will be idle cash held at some sub-treasuries at the end of the day. These balances are reconciled only at the end of the week when the balances in the subsidiary accounts are swept to the Consolidated Revenue Account (CRA). The Treasury Bills Committee meets weekly to share information on central government revenues and expenditure commitments, and ensure that cash is available for scheduled payments. The auction calendar for T-bills is established for the entire year but the amount to borrow is determined by the weekly balance in CRA. Consequently, the government`s borrowing plan is determined without analysing or forecasting its monthly cash balances. There is a gap in this dimension as the analysis/forecasts of the government`s cash balances are not undertaken. This is in part a reflection of the need to intensify and sustain efforts in strategic areas of Public Debt Management reform. The newly established Integrated Financial Management Information System (IFMIS) provides a tool for improvements in cash and commitment controls of the budget, as well as for rationalizing the cash management of treasury accounts. It is expected that with a deepening of the utilization of the IFMIS capabilities there will be an improvement in cash forecasting and management. Score: The first dimension does not meet with minimum requirements as there are no forecasts of the aggregate level of cash balances provided to DDM by the start of the relevant month. Consequently GoG is rated D on this dimension. On the second dimension, CBG does not pay interest on GoG deposits nor does it charge interest on government overdraft. Given the lack of any target amount, there is no concept of excess or idle` cash in GoG`s bank accounts. Thus, even if GoG has positive cash balances in its CRA account, it does not invest the cash in the market or with CBG at market rates. This dimension also does not meet with minimum requirements and thus the score is D, the same given in the first DeMPA report. 24 3.3.12 DPI-12 Debt Administration and Data Security Dimensions Score 1. Availability and quality of documented procedures for the processing of debt C service 2. Availability and quality of documented procedures for debt data recording and D validation, as well as storing of agreements and debt administration records 3. Availability and quality of documented procedures for controlling access to the C central government debt recording and management system 4. Frequency and off-site, secure storage of debt recording and management B system backups DDM uses the Commonwealth Secretariat Debt Recording and Management System (CS-DRMS) Version 1.3 for recording and processing of debt service for external debt. DDM has produced and implemented a Procedures Manual for back-office operations, which includes the procedures for recording and checking payment notifications with internal records before a debt-servicing payment is made. Thus DDM has formal procedures for checking payment notifications from creditors with internal records (loan agreements and debt service forecasts). Before a debt-service payment is made, payment orders are prepared manually and are subject to more than two-person authorization process, as are the checks or input/authorization (on new loans) in CS-DRMS. Thus, payments are subject to several checks at MoFEA, AG and CBG controls. All payments are made on the due date. There is a clear organisational separation between responsibilities at DDM, in addition, accurate and timely processing and controlling of payments are made and there are strong controls and good procedures for settlement of transactions and for the maintenance of the loan records including access to the debt recording system and the payment system in The Gambia. The debt data in the debt recording/management system is secure: the loan agreements are kept in a cabinet, and access to the CS-DRMS system is tightly controlled through access permissions and password controls. The back office of DDM maintains a procedures manual that covers debt administration. The head of the back office demonstrated the access control on CS-DRMS to the mission. It has 3 layers of control: (i) a first-layer user only has viewing rights but cannot edit, ii) a second layer user has input access, but cannot edit and therefore cannot add or delete data and iii) the administrator has the right to edit the database. The access control also produces audit trails that show who has accessed the system and the level accessed. Domestic debt is recorded in book entry system at Central Bank of the Gambia (CBG). The book entry system has a procedure manual which deals with different responsibilities. The CBG has put in place measures to ensure that there are separate checks of inputs made into book entry system including the presence of internal auditor before they are considered complete. The domestic data in the book entry system is secure, with daily and weekly backups made at the CBG. The copies of the backups are kept in a secure and fireproof location outside CBG. As for external debt records, access to the CS-DRMS system by users and IT specialists is strictly controlled through access permissions and password controls, and with weekly off-site weekly backups. Score: Since the DDM has documented procedures for the processing of debt service payment and internal payment orders are subject to the authorization of more than two persons, and payments are made on the due date, the first dimension meets the minimum requirements for a score of C. This shows progress from the first DeMPA report, when documented procedures 25 were lacking. The requirements for the higher score B are not met because the payment orders are not prepared electronically. Although the second dimension is scored D, significant progress has been achieved since the first DeMPA report, as a procedures manual for debt data recording was available, and the debt data is constantly being validated as payment notification is received. There are three separate procedures for the storing of loan agreements: (i) hard copies of Loan Agreements (originals) are stored at MoFEA in a cabinet; (ii) scanned copies are stored electronically in CS- DRMS and included in the daily backup, and (iii) hard copies are kept at the Ministry of Justice (MOJ). Unfortunately, debt administration records (e.g. correspondence with the lenders), along with the original Loan Agreements, are kept in a cabinet which is not fire-proof and thus cannot be considered to be in a secure filing system. There is no other back-up of the debt administration records, so the score is D in spite of progress achieved in other elements of this dimension. On the third dimension, there are documented procedures for controlling access to the debt recording and payment system CS-DRMS; this meets the score of C. As it is not clear whether the procedures manual is updated whenever staff changes occur this dimension does not qualify for score B. On the fourth dimension, the external debt recording system, daily backups are taken every evening and stored within MOFEA, in addition to weekly backups which are maintained on separate backup tapes. A copy of the back-up tapes is kept with the head of the back office at MoFEA and another copy is kept at a location outside the Ministry With regard to domestic debt registry, daily backups and weekly backups are made at the CBG. The copies of the backups are kept in a secure and fireproof location outside CBG. Thus, the requirements of B are met for this dimension, again showing progress from the previous score of C. However, score A is not met because the daily backup taken at MoFEA are stored within the premises and are not as secure. 3.3.13 DPI-13 Segregation of Duties, Staff Capacity, and Business Continuity Dimensions Score 1. Segregation of duties for some key functions, as well as the presence of a risk- C monitoring and compliance function 2. Staff capacity and human resource management C 3. Presence of an operational risk management plan, including business- D continuity and disaster-disaster recovery arrangements DDM takes part in loan negotiations and contracting. DDM provides technical input during preparations for negotiation and signing of loan agreements by checking loan terms such as the degree of concessionality. The Minister of Finance is usually the head of the negotiation team, which includes the Permanent Secretary, a representative of MOJ, and a representative of the relevant ministry benefitting from the loan. DDM staff are responsible for recording transactions on external debt, guarantees and on-lending, while CBG effects payment of external debt transactions (based on the authorization from the AG). There is a clear separation of responsibilities. Likewise, within DDM there is separation between staff that are arranging payments and those recording/accounting. There are different staff entering data and checking data. With regard to domestic debt, CBG Banking Department is responsible for conducting the auctions, with the participation of two MoFEA staff. Every transaction is checked and authorized by the Deputy Governor of CBG. On the issue of risk monitoring, the director of 26 DDM is responsible for risk monitoring and compliance (but there is no separate dedicated staff carrying out this function). On the second dimension, most of the 17 DDM staff have received minimum necessary training for the tasks that they are expected to perform, and several staff are currently obtaining a Master`s degree abroad. The current staffing of DDM is considered adequate. Staff turnover at DDM is moderate. Job descriptions exist, although these are rather generic. These are periodically reviewed and updated to reflect changes in responsibilities. The minimum requirements for this indicator are met (Score C), an improvement from the first DeMPA report; staff capacities and analytical skills could be enhanced with detailed training on risk analysis and management. There are code-of-conduct guidelines for the general Civil Service but no conflict-of-interest guidelines in the DDM and CBG for the staff involved in trading debt securities; on this account, the requirements for score B for this dimension are not met. On the third dimension, although CBG has in place business-continuity and disaster recovery plans, this was not the case for MoFEA. Thus, the minimum requirements are not met for this dimension and the rating is D, the same as with the first DeMPA report. Score: On the first dimension, GoG meets with the minimum requirements for effective debt management (score C) but does not meet the requirement for B because there are no dedicated staff members at MoFEA and CBG responsible for risk monitoring and compliance. The second dimension complies with the minimum score, while the third dimension has a score of D because MoFEA has no business-continuity and disaster-recovery plans. 3.3.14 DPI-14 Debt Records Dimensions Score 1. Completeness and timeliness of central government debt records B 2. Complete and up-to-date records of all holders of government securities in a A secure registry system In The Gambia, the recording of external and domestic debt is split between MoFEA and CBG. The former records all external debt while the latter records domestic debt. At MoFEA, CS-DRMS 2000+ is used for recording, monitoring, settling, and accounting for external debt. MoFEA has complete debt records with six weeks lag for central government external as well as for all debt- related transactions, including debt restructuring. CBG has complete and up-to-date domestic debt records, based on the Book Entry System. CBG is in charge of recording domestic debt and uses the Book Entry System for recording and settlement of domestic debt transactions. CBG has electronic registry with up-to-date and secure records of all holders of government securities, which are subject to an annual audit. The authorities reported that the CBG registries have been audited both internally and externally. The external audit of the registry system is part of the yearly audits of the Bank, which are normally performed by recognized audit firms that are registered with the CBG. According to the authorities at CBG, the auditors have looked into the registry system specifically. Moreover, all the transactions are backed up on a daily basis. Overall, the requirements for the highest score (A) are met for this dimension. Score: GoG meets the minimum requirements of completeness and timeliness of central government debt records and since the external debt data base has 6 weeks` lag, it qualifies for a score of B. The CBG has a complete and updated record of all holders of government securities in a secure registry system, for a score of A. 27 3.3.15 DPI-15 Debt Reporting Dimensions Score 1. Meeting statutory and contractual reporting requirements of central government D debt to all domestic and external entities 2. Meeting statutory and contractual reporting requirements for total nonfinancial N/R public sector debt and loan guarantees to all domestic and external entities 3. Quality and timeliness of the publication of a debt statistical bulletin (or its D equivalent) covering central government debt The Constitution requires the Minister of Finance to report debt figures (granting of loans, servicing and repayment) to the National Assembly annually or at such times as the latter may require. In terms of publication of central government debt, MoFEA is now publishing a quarterly debt bulletin which is shared with the National Assembly; in addition, it has produced the Medium Term Debt Management Strategy 2010­2012 (also shared with the Assembly) as well as a DSA analysis in 2009. The quarterly bulletin provides information on central government debt stocks by creditor classification, instrument, and interest-rate basis. There is also information on debt flows as well as debt ratios/indicators, and currency composition. However, this information is not fully updated to the latest quarter; most information on stocks corresponds to data of one year ago (i.e. December 2008) although information on domestic debt stock as of September 2009 (3 month`s lag) is included. Likewise the MTDS report of early September 2009 uses data of December 2008. Gambia has not reported the 2008 reports to The World Bank and thus is non- compliant with regards to statutory reporting requirements. As for domestic debt, the debt information is available in CBG`s Annual Report, but the latest report published on the website is 2007. On the second dimension there is no statutory or contractual requirement to report total non- financial public debt, so the score is Not rated. On the third dimension, MoFEA publishes a quarterly report, and CBG publishes central government`s domestic and external debt in its Annual Report as well as on its website. The reports contain information on the stock and composition of GoG debt, and interest rate structure, as well as the costs of servicing the debt; however, the score C is not met because external debt data published has a one-year lag. Score: For the first dimension GoG does not comply with the minimum requirement because of non-compliance with statutory reporting requirements. The second dimension receives a N/R because there is no contractual or statutory requirement to report total non-financial public sector debt and loan guarantees. The third dimension does not obtain the minimum requirement because debt reporting on external debt stocks shows a lag of almost one year. 28 Annex 1: List of Officials Interviewed Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs Hon. Abdou Kolley Minister of Finance and Economic Affairs Serign Charm Permanent Secretary Naffie Barry Deputy Permanent Secretary ALfusainey K. Jabbi Economist Directorate of Debt Management (DDM) Mod K. Ceesay Director Debt Management Pa A. Manneh Principal Jawara Mendy Loans Officer Amie Kolleh Jeng Economist Budget Unit Alieu Bah Principal Fiscal Officer Ismaila Bah Fiscal Officer Economic Management Policy Unit (EMPU) Amie Khan Senior Economist Chitel Ceesay Cadet Economist Public Financial Management Unit (PFM) Yaya Drameh Senior Economist Fatou Janha Economist Bail Madi Ceesay Economist Dan Mwanye Fiscal Financial Technical Assistant Chris Wilford Technical Assistant Ansumana Touray IFMIS Financial Management Specialist Internal Audit (MOFEA) Lamin B. Jammeh Central Bank of The Gambia Ousaini Corr Director of Finance Ismaila Jarju Ag Director Research, Deputy Director Mgaye Jammeh Deputy Director Banking Michael Barrai Deputy Director Momodou Sabally Principal Economist Karamo Jawara Principal Banking Officer Bakary Jammeh Principal Economist 29 National Audit Office Karamba Tourey Director of Audit Man C. Ajie Director of Audit Hannah Davies Director of Audit National Planning Commission Abdour Tourey Director General Lamin Bojang Economic Specialist Government Bureau of Statistics Alieu S. Ndow Statistician General Aminata Deen Senior Statistician (National Accounts) Ministry of Justice Cherno Marenah Senior Legislative Draftsman National Assembly Mr. Dodou C. M. Kebbeh Clerk of the House Hon. Fabakary T. Jatta Majority Leader Hon. Momogu L. K. Sanneh Minority Leader Hon. Babading K. K. Dapfey Member of the House ­ Kiang Central Hon. Netty Balder Member Public Accounts Committee Mrs Isatou S. Conteh Hansard Editor Personnel Management Office Dawda Fadera DPS 1 Ebrima Sisawo Principal Personnel Officer Social Security Housing Fund (SSHFC) Edward Graham Deputy Managing Director Aladdy S. Kessel Editor Standard Chartered Bank Humphrey Mukwereza Chief Executive Office Richard Ahulu Chief Finance Officer ­ Finance Director Asatou Barry Njei Associate Director Financial Institution Fatou Cham Asset Liability Manager Trust Bank Ltd Njilan Senghore Njei General Manager Pa M. M. N`Jie Managing Director Orewe Joiner General Manager ­ Banking Omar Mboob (ACCA) Senior Manger Finance & Treasury 30 Institutional Support for Economic and Financial Governance (ISPEFG) of AFDB Awa Kah John Project Accountant Directorate of National Treasury (DNT) = Accountant-General Office Gabriel Mendy Director of Treasury Lamin Singhateh Deputy Director DNT Agnes Macaulay Deputy Director Treasury Clara S. Mandy Acting PA DNT Omar Keway Mbye Financial Management Specialist Baakary Sanyang Financial Management Specialist Lamin Sanyang Financial Management Specialist World Bank Country Office Badara Joof Head of Liaison Office 31 Annex 2: Meeting Schedule from 11 to 19 January, 2010 Monday, 11th January, 2010 09.30-10.00 Courtesy call with Permanent Secretary, MoFEA MoFEA Conference Room 10.30-11.30 Meeting with Directorate of Debt Management DDM Office 14.00-15.00 Meeting with EMPU EMPU Office 15.00-16.00 Meeting with Director of Budget Unit Budget Unit Office Tuesday, 12th January, 2010 10.00-11.30 Meeting with Stakeholders CBG Conference Room 11.30-12.00 Meeting with Internal Auditor, MoFEA Internal Auditors` Office 14.00-15.00 Meeting with Accountant-General, National Treasury National Treasury Office 15.00-16.00 Meeting with Public Financial Management Unit PFM Unit Office Wednesday, 13th January, 2010 09.00-10.00 Meeting with National Planning Commission NPC Building 10.00-11.00 Meeting with Personnel Management Office PMO Building 11.00-13.00 Meeting with Central Bank of Gambia CBG Building 15.00-16.00 Meeting with the Gambia Bureau of Statistics GBOS Building Thursday, 15th January, 2010 09.00-10.00 Meeting with Auditor-General NAO Building 10.00-10.30 Meeting with Managing Director, Social Security & Housing SSHFC Building Finance Corporation 10.45-11.15 Meeting with Trust Bank Trust Bank Building 11.30-12.00 Meeting with Managing Director, Standard Chartered Bank SC Bank Building 14.00-15.00 Meeting with Ministry of Justice MOJ Office 15.00-16.00 Meeting with Public Finance Committee National Assembly Building Friday, 15th January, 2010 09.00-10.00 Meeting with World Bank Country Manager World Bank Office Monday, 18th January, 2010 Work on Report Tuesday, 19th January, 2010 09.30-11.00 Wrap up Meeting with Minister of Finance and Stakeholders MoFEA Conference Room 32