WVi 5a. 7? POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER 2781 Maritime Transport Costs Transport costs have increased their relative and Port Efficiency importance as a barrier to trade. Distance, c :r,'lr-,err:>7Fbi FU%JL 0% 9\^+xille(3ms ~ DmwcEPeki 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 100/0 12% 14% TARFF/CUST Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Department of Commerce.60 60 The high calculated duty presented by Central American countries are due to textile products (code 6 in HTSUSA). 32 Figure 4 Handling Costs and Seaport Efficiency, 1998 -3.63966 0L C,c 0. 0) 2.46 6.76 Seaport Eff. adj. by Inf. Natural Cubic Spline Figure 5 Port Efficiency and Level of Regulation (Mandatory Port Services), 1998 2.65104 - .0 CU - CD Co sa ~ ~~ ~~~ I \ 1.80829 - 2.4 6.76 Mandatory Serv., adjusting by Inf. and Crime Natural Cubic Spline 33 Table 1: Determinants of Maritime Transport Costs, 1998 Dependent Variable: TC=(Charges / Weight) OLS estimations IV estimations Variables (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Distance 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.17 0.17 (11.37)*** (9.83)*** (11.41)*** (10.21)*** (8.47)*** (10.37)*** Weight value 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 (54.77)*** (51.66)*** (48.78)*** (54.75)*** (50.96)*** (48.81)*** Policy variables Price fixing rate agreement 0.06 0.02 -0.00 0.06 0.02 0.01 (=1 if agreement exist) (1.88)* (0.64) (0.14) (1.71)* (0.51) (0.28) Cooperative agreement -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 -0.03 -0.02 (=1 if agreement exist) (0.89) (1.30) (0.78) (0.90) (1.23) (0.83) Containerization -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 (2.78)*** (2.30)** (2.22)** (2.87)*** (2.27)** (2.28)** Total liner volume -0.02 -0.02 -0.03 -- -- -- (foreign country to US coast) (3.70)*** (2.85)*** (4.47)*** -- -- -- Total liner volume (Instr) . _ -0.02 -0.04 -0.04 (foreign GDP) - - _ (2.19)** (2.72)*** (3.85)*** Foreign port efficiency Foreign GDP per capita -0.05 -0.05 (proxy for infrastructure) (5.78)*** -- (5.16)*** -- Port efficiency - -0.05 -0.05 (Global Conipet. Report) - (3.87)*** -- -- (3.53)*** - Infrastructure Index -- -- -0.03 -- -- -0.03 (proxy for port infast.) -- -- (3.36)*** -- - (3.50)*** Observations 332,593 314,462 289,834 332,593 314,462 289,834 R-squared (adj.) 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 Notes: Robust t-statistics in parentheses; * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%. All estimations include fixed effects for products (4848 products) and for US districts (31 districts). Regressions allow the observations to be independent across exporting countries, and interdependent within each country. 34 Table 2: Determinants of Maritime Transport Costs, 1995-1999 Dependent Variable: TC=(Charges / Weight) 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Distance 0.17 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.25 (6.30)*** (5.61)*** (6.34)*** (8.47)*** (9.86)*** Weight value 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.53 (49.87)*** (42.34)*** (56.63)*** (50.96)*** (54.48)*** Policy variables Price fixing rate agreement 0.02 0.06 0.08 0.02 -0.07 (=1 if agreement exist) (0.51) (1.13) (1.72)* (0.51) (1.98)** Cooperative agreement -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 0.01 (=1 if agreement exist) (1.67)* (1.56) (0.99) (1.23) (0.35) Containerization -0.03 0.02 -0.002 -0.03 0.003 (1.32) (0.91) (0.15) (2.27)** (0.12) Total liner volume (Instr) -0.03 -0.03 -0.04 -0.04 0.0001 (foreign GDP) (1.75)* (2.05)** (2.58)** (2.72)*** (0.01) Foreign port efficiency Port efficiency -0.080 -0.072 -0.068 -0.053 -0.057 (Global Compet. Report) (4.07)*** (4.07)*** (4.03)*** (3.53)*** (4.41)*** Observations 273,337 273,063 297,825 314,462 346,868 R-squared 0.52 0.49 0.49 0.47 0.45 Notes: Robust t-statistics in parentheses; * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%. All estimations include fixed effects for products (4848 products) and for US districts (31). Regressions allow the observations to be independent across exporting countries, and interdependent within each country. 35 Table 3: Port Efficiency Variables Port Custom Container Handling Efficiency Clearance Charges in Ports (7=best, 1=worst) (days) (US$/TEU) North America 6.35 3.50 261.7 Europe (excl. East) 5.29 4.00 166.7 Middle East 4.93 na na East Asia & the Pacific 4.66 5.57 150.5 East & South Africa 4.63 12.00 na North Africa 3.72 5.50 na Former Soviet Union 3.37 5.42 na East Europe 3.28 2.38 na Latin Am. & the Caribbean 2.90 7.08 251.4 South Asia 2.79 -- na West Africa na 11.70 na Sources: Global Competitiveness Report (1999), World Bank Surveys, Camara Maritirna y Portuaria de Chile. A.G. (1999), and LSU (1998). (na: not available) Table 4: Handling Costs and Port Efficiency, 1998 Dependent variable: Container Handling Charges, divided by wage or proxy (in logarithm) (1) (2) (3) a (4) (5) a Variables (adj. by (adj. by (adj. by (adj. by (adj. by m. wage) GDPpc) GDPpc) GDPpc PPP) GDPpc PPP) Port Efficiency -0.48 -0.37 -0.31 -0.33 -0.31 (Global Compet. Report) (14.69)*** (7.69)*** (3.95)*** (6.02)*** (5.09)*** Infrastructure Index b -0.14 -0.36 -0.42 -0.14 -0.14 (proxy for port (2.04)* (9.09)*** (12.89)*** (3.81)*** (4.24)*** infrastructure) Constant -2.28 -2.82 -3.20 -3.00 -3.11 (10.42)*** (10.00)*** (6.93)*** (9.38)*** (8.69)*** Observations 12 23 18 23 18 R-squared 0.95 0.93 0.95 0.88 0.88 Notes: Robust t-statistics in parentheses. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; *** significant at 1%. a: regression uses handling cost data from the World Bank only. b: the infrastructure index is in logarithm. 36 Table 5: Determinants of Port Efficiency, 1998 Dependent var.: Port Efficiency (from the Global Competitiveness Report) Variables (1) (2) (3) Infrastructure 0.27 0.26 0.26 (3.04)*** (2.81)*** (2.86)*** Cargo Handling Restrictions 0.84 0.05 -- (0.72) (0.16) -- Cargo Handling Restrictions (sqr.) -0.85 -- -- (0.70) -- -- Mandatory Port Services 3.43 3.37 3.41 (2.25)** (2.19)** (2.30)** Mandatory Port Services (sqr.) -5.20 -4.90 -4.91 (2.42)** (2.31)** (2.34)** Organized Crime 0.54 0.51 0.51 (Org. crime is not a problem) (4.66)*** (5.72)*** (5.84)*** Constant 1.96 2.10 2.11 (2.65)** (3.37)*** (3.45)*** Nr. Observations 41 41 41 R sq. 0.77 0.77 0.77 Notes: Robust t-statistics in parentheses. * significant at 10%; ** significant at 5%; * significant at 1%. 37 Policy Research Working Paper Series Contact Title Author Date for paper WPS2765 Inequality Aversion, Health Adam Wagstaff January 2002 H. Sladovich Inequalities. and Health Achievement 37698 WPS2766 Autonomy, Participation, and Learning Gunnar S. Eskeland January 2002 H. Sladovich in Argentine Schools: Findings and Deon Filmer 37698 Their Implications for Decentralization WPS2767 Child Labor: The Role of Income Rajeev H. Dehejia January 2002 A. Bonfield Variability and Access to Credit in a Roberta Gatti 31248 Cross-Section of Countries WPS2768 Trade, Foreign Exchange, and Energy Jesper Jensen January 2002 P. Flewitt Policies in the Islamic Republic of David Tarr 32724 Iran: Reform Agenda, Economic Implications, and Impact on the Poor WPS2769 Immunization in Developing Countries: Varun Gauri January 2002 H. Sladovich Its Political and Organizational Peyvand Khaleghian 37698 Determinants WPS2770 Downsizing and Productivity Gains Martin Rama January 2002 H. Sladovich In the Public and Private Sectors Constance Newman 37698 of Colombia WPS2771 Exchange Rate Appreciations. Labor Norbert M. Fiess February 2002 R. lzquierdo Market Rigidities. and Informality Marco Fugazza 84161 William Maloney WPS2772 Governance Matters II: Updated Daniel Kaufmann February 2002 E. Farnand Indicators for 2000-01 Aart Kraay 39291 Pablo Zoido-Lobat6n WPS2773 Household Enterprises in Vietnam: Wim P. M. Vijverberg February 2002 E. Khine Survival. Growth, and Living Jonathan Haughton 37471 Standards WPS2774 Child Labor in Transition in Vietnam Eric Edmonds February 2002 R. Bonfield Carrie Turk 31248 WPS2775 Patterns of Health Care Utilization in Pravin K. Trivedi February 2002 R. Bonfield Vietnam: Analysis of 1997-98 31248 Vietnam Living Standards Survey Data WPS2776 Child Nutrition, Economic Growth, Paul Glewwe February 2002 E. Khine and the Provision of Health Care Stefanie Koch 37471 Services in Vietnam in the 1990s Bui Linh Nguyen WPS2777 Teachers' Incentives and Professional Gladys Lbpez-Acevedo February 2002 M. Geller Development in Schools in Mexico 85155 Policy Research Working Paper Series Contact Title Author Date for paper WPS2778 Technology and Firm Performance Gladys L6pez-Acevedo February 2002 M. Geller in Mexico 85155 WPS2779 Technology and Skill Demand Gladys L6pez-Acevedo February 2002 M. Geller in Mexico 85155 WPS2780 Determinants of Technology Adoption Gladys L6pez-Acevedo February 2002 M. Geller in Mexico 85155