42912 v 2 APPENDIX 1. PROJECTIONS OF RECURRENT AND DEVELOPMENT COSTS 1 0 `00 ference and ­5,750 ­6,814 23,766 17,271 Dif between current needed US$ ­89,098 ­68,999 ­25,655 ­15,445 ­27,490 ­74,091 ­44,551 ­11,698 ­16,562 ­90,010 ­98,838 ­11,131 ­159,777 ­193,668 ­329,690 ­210,822 ­134,218 ­112,126 ­150,401 expenditure expenditure `000 on 7,207 5,178 Current 80,093 23,724 23,852 39,208 32,412 11,035 16,619 12,105 64,205 76,066 education US$ 217,056 124,775 107,879 304,260 104,276 496,945 119,484 322,877 186,497 243,941 684,983 expenditure on GDP 3.4 3.3 2.3 4.0 3.7 3.4 4.0 4.0 2.0 4.0 4.6 4.9 3.0 2.2 2.7 4.8 4.6 2.8 4.2 1.9 2.3 6.3 8.0 percent Current of education expenditure as otalT cost 49,379 39,297 66,698 16,785 18,906 33,181 23,236 11,992 58,794 376,833 169,190 318,443 176,878 633,950 106,503 148,827 707,767 253,702 412,887 285,334 356,067 214,606 661,217 otalT GDP 5.9 7.0 5.9 6.6 7.7 7.1 6.6 6.8 6.6 6.1 6.6 7.0 6.4 5.8 5.4 6.1 7.0 5.4 6.1 6.4 5.3 6.1 6.2 percent needed of other 9,876 7,859 3,357 3,781 6,636 4,647 2,398 Cost higher + 75,367 33,838 63,689 35,376 13,340 21,301 29,765 50,740 82,577 57,067 71,213 42,921 11,759 126,790 141,553 132,243 education education expenditure other 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.2 GDP Higher + percent needed education of 30 `000 9,322 3,077 3,775 9,739 4,795 1,768 9,547 cent Cost GER 32,575 73,678 31,778 10,160 13,057 19,250 26,737 72,027 58,502 79,624 40,778 percent US$ 108,647 128,344 146,816 116,741 106,639 per U 30 GDP X2 1.7 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.4 1.2 0.8 1.0 1.0 percent of needed Upper secondary GER2U A2U school- age 9.5 7.5 7.5 6.5 8.8 8.0 8.7 7.4 6.6 6.2 6.6 8.0 6.4 8.8 9.6 8.0 6.2 7.6 6.7 4.4 5.4 5.6 10.0 and percent of population percent 30 cent, = of 60 `000 9,131 4,549 5,559 5,439 5,195 2,887 per Cost GER percent 91,747 46,470 49,828 47,664 13,788 18,399 28,749 40,104 38,464 62,543 79,608 81,487 58,739 14,100 US$ 176,339 198,005 106,895 30 60 = secondary L GDP/cap GDP X2 1.4 1.9 0.9 1.8 2.2 2.0 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.0 1.7 0.9 0.9 2.0 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.3 1.0 1.5 percent of needed Lower GER2U GER2L Lower secondary 60; percent = cent, 60 = GDP/cap; A2L school- age 8.0 5.1 9.8 8.5 9.9 9.2 9.8 5.4 9.4 4.9 5.2 6.7 7.8 9.7 7.1 5.5 8.2 10.6 11.9 10.9 10.4 10.8 10.9 percent per GER2L of population GERU 110; 110 = percent 110 `000 12 Cost 5,802 5,790 8,599 4,939 56,307 62,061 15,555 12,984 21,902 37,203 52,221 92,470 11,367 90,158 72,168 23,388 = percent GER1 US$ 10,1073 13,1248 202,477 221,393 151,026 123,743 315,440 GDP/Cap; GER1 GER1 of Primary X1 GDP 1.6 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.3 1.8 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.9 2.5 percent of needed Primary cost: Costs ent UNIT A1 school- age 12.0 17.6 18.3 17.4 18.4 17.1 16.5 16.9 17.4 15.9 17.5 16.5 17.6 13.4 14.0 17.0 16.8 15.1 16.1 16.2 16.6 22.0 18.6 percent of population Recurr of. of. Rep Guinea A1.1 asoF heT ana erdeV African Rep, d'Ivoire Dem., ableT Baseline Angola Benin Botsw Burkina Burundi Cameroon Cape Central Republic Chad Comoros Congo Côte Congo Equatorial Eritrea Ethiopia Gabon Gambia, Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau enyaK Lesotho 2 0 `00 ference and ­511 -5,059 51,277 21,167 Dif between current needed US$ ­25,505 ­64,149 ­78,914 ­44,303 ­11,704 338,078 ­15,737 ­21,993 ­150,522 ­107,190 ­147,918 ­172,686 ­273,895 ­263,435 expenditure expenditure ­1,115,632 (continued) `000 on 1,714 Current 17,354 78,133 81,748 95,571 48,099 49,687 40,747 25,609 74,272 61,996 education US$ 106,854 151,415 291,276 150,857 157,463 384,102 expenditure 1,025,060 7,264,681 on GDP 4.0 2.5 4.2 2.9 3.3 2.5 7.7 2.4 3.0 2.8 4.0 3.2 7.8 4.0 5.8 5.4 4.9 2.5 4.0 percent Current of education expenditure as otalT cost 2,225 22,413 93,989 19,580 37,313 90,009 83,989 257,376 103,638 188,938 215,564 243,489 239,998 127,013 323,543 431,358 647,537 2,140,693 6,926,603 otalT GDP 5.2 6.0 5.6 6.7 4.7 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3 5.3 5.2 6.9 3.7 5.8 5.5 6.5 6.6 6.8 6.7 percent needed of 445 other 4,483 3,916 7,463 Cost higher + 51,475 20,728 37,788 43,113 48,698 48,000 25,403 18,798 64,709 18,002 16,798 86,272 428,139 129,507 education education expenditure 1,385,321 other 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.3 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.4 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.3 GDP Higher + percent needed education of 30 `000 314 4,022 3,282 6,512 Cost GER 50,483 13,823 34,280 35,348 55,038 35,346 22,130 17,850 64,444 13,888 15,894 51,719 85,075 percent US$ 450,122 1,135,590 U GDP X2 0.9 1.2 0.7 1.2 0.8 1.4 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.7 1.4 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.9 percent of needed Upper secondary A2U school- age 5.1 6.6 4.1 6.8 4.3 8.0 5.2 6.1 7.3 5.6 4.1 7.6 3.5 5.7 5.0 5.6 7.0 4.6 4.9 percent of population percent 30 = of 60 `000 876 4,782 4,969 9,970 Cost GER percent 75,413 14,992 51,057 67,732 37,749 55,054 33,919 20,455 89,638 21,097 22,963 US$ 481,337 114,823 179,365 1,668,113 30 = secondary L GDP/cap GDP X2 1.1 1.8 0.8 1.8 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.4 1.2 2.0 1.9 1.0 1.6 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.9 percent of needed Lower GER2U Lower secondary 60; percent = 60 = GDP/cap; A2L school- age 6.1 9.8 4.5 8.2 5.5 8.1 9.4 7.8 6.4 5.3 8.7 7.4 8.5 10.1 11.4 10.6 10.1 10.1 10.4 percent GER2L of population GERU 110; = percent 110 `000 590 12 Cost 9,127 7,413 80,005 54,096 65,812 69,371 45,561 36,887 13,368 37,022 28,334 = 102,004 101,598 781,095 104,752 178,545 253,589 GER1 GDP/Cap; GER1 percent US$ 2,737,579 Primary X1 GDP 2.1 1.9 2.9 2.3 1.5 2.7 2.7 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.4 2.2 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.7 2.2 2.8 2.6 percent of needed Primary cost: UNIT A1 school- age 15.9 14.2 22.0 17.7 11.5 20.2 20.3 17.2 17.3 15.7 10.4 16.8 10.8 15.8 16.6 20.4 17.0 21.5 20.0 percent of population (continued) Principe and A1.1 anda oméT Leone Africa aziland ableT Baseline Liberia Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritius Mozambique Namibia Niger Nigeria Rw São Senegal Seychelles Sierra South Sw ogoT Uganda anzaniaT 3 0 `00 ference and Dif between current needed US$ 226,091 ­142,068 expenditure expenditure ­3,840,403 ­3,842,993 `000 on Current 67,648 education US$ 679,640 expenditure 6,390,486 14,158,602 on GDP 2.0 4.0 3.9 percent 11.1 Current of education expenditure as otalT cost 209,716 453,548 17,999,004 10,233,479 otalT GDP 6.2 7.4 6.2 6.3 percent needed of other Cost higher + 41,943 90,710 education education expenditure 3,599,801 2,046,696 other 1.2 1.5 1.2 1.3 GDP Higher + percent needed education of 30 `000 Cost GER 45,509 65,801 percent US$ 3,313,847 2,007,447 U GDP X2 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.2 percent of needed Upper secondary A2U school- age 7.5 6.0 6.6 6.7 percent of population percent 30 = of 60 `000 Cost GER percent 31,974 US$ 130,854 4,302,821 2,432,571 30 = secondary L GDP/cap GDP X2 0.9 2.1 1.5 1.5 percent of needed Lower GER2U Lower secondary 60; percent = 60 = GDP/cap; A2L school- age 5.3 8.4 8.6 11.9 percent GER2L of rate. rate. population GERU 110; = percent 110 `000 12 rate. Cost 90,289 enrollment = percent 166,183 population. enrollment population. GER1 GDP/Cap; GER1 US$ 6,782,535 3,746,766 of of Primary X1 GDP enrollment 2.7 2.7 2.2 2.3 population. percent secondary secondary percent percent of needed Primary of as as cost: lower upper primary UNIT percent children A1 given children given school- age 20.2 20.6 17.0 17.3 as given percent for for of population for age age (continued) estimates. children $1,500 <$1,500 needed needed needed age secondary secondary GDP GDP A1.1 GDP Authors of of